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Top of the Agenda: NATO Summit Overshadowed by U.S.-Pakistan Rift The United States and Pakistan failed to reach an agreement to reopen a NATO supply line (NYT) from Pakistan through Afghanistan ahead of a crucial NATO summit that got under way in Chicago yesterday. U.S. President Barack Obama refused to meet with his Pakistani counterpart, Asif Ali Zardari, unless a deal was reached. The two-day summit--to which Pakistan was invited at the last minute in the hopes of securing a deal over the supply routes--is focused on winding down NATO's decade-long war in Afghanistan. Pakistan closed the routes after a U.S. airstrike killed twenty-four Pakistani soldiers along the Pakistani-Afghan border in November, exacerbating already strained relations between the two countries. Analysis "The alliance continues to confront fundamental questions about how it should define its role and mission in the twenty-first century, and whether its member nations have the political will and capacity to fulfill its mission. In particular, countries are ambivalent about whether the alliance should continue to conduct operations outside the North Atlantic, or limit missions to member nations' borders," writes CFR's Stewart M. Patrick in this Expert Brief.
"This week in Chicago, Obama will announce the withdrawal of U.S. combat troops from Afghanistan by next summer. He will, in effect, be conceding defeat: the Taliban remains strong; the Hamid Karzai government looks inept and corrupt; the country appears headed for civil war. Al Qaeda may be weaker than it was three years ago, but not because of America's wildly expensive counterinsurgency effort, which has proved a massive bust," writes the Daily Beast's Peter Beinart.
"It's the realization that the Taliban will remain very much alive and kicking after NATO leaves that has prompted Obama to press upon Karzai the need to engage with greater urgency in reconciliation talks with the Taliban--and also to implement electoral reforms to diminish corruption and make elections more transparent," writes TIME's Tony Karon. PACIFIC RIM U.S., Allies Warn North Korea Over Nuclear Test U.S., Japanese, and South Korean diplomats threatened North Korea with further international sanctions (NYT) if it carries out a new nuclear test, during a trilateral meeting in Seoul today. North Korea faced international condemnation following a failed rocket launch last month.
CHINA: Dissident Chen Guangcheng arrived in the United States (WSJ) with his wife and two children over the weekend, taking up residence at a New York University apartment. Chen is set to begin studying law at NYU in the coming weeks.
The case of dissident Chen Guangcheng amid high-level talks revealed determination by Beijing and Washington to maintain stable ties, says CFR's Elizabeth C. Economy in this CFR Interview. SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA Suicide Bomber Targets U.S. Soldiers in Afghanistan A suicide bomber blew himself up at a local police station (NYT) in Afghanistan's southern Oruzgan Province on Sunday, apparently killing at least two U.S. soldiers and wounding Afghan civilians.
Though toppled from power in Kabul in 2001, the Taliban has become a resilient force active on two fronts--in Afghanistan and Pakistan, explains this CFR Backgrounder. MIDDLE EAST Suicide Bombing Kills Dozens Ahead of Yemeni Army Parade A suicide bomb attack killed at least sixty-three people (BBC) during a rehearsal for a military parade in the Yemeni capital of Sanaa today. The suicide bomber was reportedly posing as a Yemeni soldier prior to the attack.
LEBANON: Gun fighting erupted between pro- and anti-Syrian Sunni groups (AP) early this morning on the streets of Beirut, following the deadly shooting of an anti-Syrian cleric in northern Lebanon. At least six people were wounded in today's clashes. AFRICA UN Human Rights Chief Arrives in Zimbabwe UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Navi Pillay arrived in the Zimbabwean capital of Harare today. She is set to meet with longtime President Robert Mugabe (M&G) and Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai, the former opposition leader who agreed to a fragile power-sharing agreement with Mugabe three years ago.
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF CONGO: The army clashed with a group of mutineers (AFP) in the eastern province of Nord-Kivu on Sunday. The mutineers are former rebels who were integrated into the army in 2009, but defected en masse during the so-called March 23 Movement. EUROPE Spanish Economy Contracts Spain's gross domestic product contracted in the second quarter of this year (WSJ), in line with a 0.3 percent contraction in the first quarter, Spanish Finance Minister Luis de Guindos said today. Spain is the latest eurozone country to be hobbled by the ongoing sovereign debt crisis.
New electoral currents in Europe are threatening the German-backed fiscal responsibility pact and sparking fresh fears of debt contagion, says CFR's Sebastian Mallaby in this CFR Interview.
SERBIA: Nationalist Tomislav Nikolic defeated liberal incumbent Boris Tadic (BBC) in a presidential runoff yesterday, but vowed to keep Serbia on the path toward EU membership. AMERICAS Ruling Party Leads Early Election Results The candidate of the Dominican Republic's ruling Dominican Liberation Party, Danilo Medina, is leading rival candidate Hipolito Mejia 51 percent to 47 percent following Sunday's presidential election (al-Jazeera), with 37 percent of the vote counted.
COLOMBIA: Authorities last week arrested Sigifredo López on suspicion that he helped rebels (NYT) of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Columbia--or FARC--kidnap twelve provincial legislators, including himself, in Cali in 2002. López was freed by the rebels in 2009. CAMPAIGN 2012 Candidates' Surrogates Spar on Economic Issues On Meet the Press, House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan, a supporter of likely GOP nominee Mitt Romney, and Democratic Sen. Dick Durbin, a close ally of President Barack Obama, discussed the two candidates' differing visions for addressing U.S. debt and deficits and growing the economy.
Ryan also sparred with Obama's chief economist Austan Goolsbee on Fox News Sunday on economic issues, including who has the best record on job growth.
USA Today looks at five divergent views of the current economy, noting that the "uneven impact of the Great Recession and the uncertainty of the recovery" have shaped those views and the campaign appeals of President Obama and Mitt Romney.
Editor's Note: For more information on the presidential election and foreign policy, check out CFR's campaign blog, The Candidates and the World.
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