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CSIS: The Uncertain âMetricsâ of Afghanistan (and Iraq)

Author: Anthony H. Cordesman, Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy, the Center for International and Strategic Studies in Washington
May 18, 2007

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Far too many current measures of progress have little or no value, report meaningless nation-wide data, quantify the unimportant, or are more designed to "spin" immediate success than win real victory over time. The true complexities, uncertainties, and risks involved in dealing with a host of ethnic, sectarian, tribal, and regional problems are downplayed or ignored. The threat is assumed to be unpopular, and the US, NATO, and Afghan government are assumed to have large-scale support.

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