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Managing Instability on China’s Periphery

Authors: , General John W. Vessey Senior Fellow for Conflict Prevention and Director of the Center for Preventive Action, , Senior Fellow for Korea Studies and Director of the Program on U.S.-Korea Policy, , Senior Fellow for Southeast Asia, Daniel S. Markey, Adjunct Senior Fellow for India, Pakistan, and South Asia, and Evan A. Feigenbaum

Managing Instability on China’s Periphery - managing-instability-on-chinas-periphery

Publisher Council on Foreign Relations Press

Release Date September 2011

80 pages


China's growing global engagement and presence has increased the number of conceivable places and issues over which it could find itself at odds with the United States, but potential developments in the territories immediately adjacent to China remain the most likely—and the most worrisome—sources of friction. In this Center for Preventive Action study, "Managing Instability on China's Periphery," Scott A. Snyder, Joshua Kurlantzick, Daniel Markey, and Evan A. Feigenbaum provide policy options for preventing a major crisis and mitigating the consequences in North Korea, Myanmar, Pakistan, and Central Asia.

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Paul B. Stares is the General John W. Vessey senior fellow for con­flict prevention and director of the Center for Preventive Action at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). Prior to joining CFR, Stares was the vice president and director of the Center for Conflict Analysis and Prevention at the United States Institute of Peace. He worked as an associate director and senior research scholar at Stanford Univer­sity's Center for International Security and Cooperation from 2000 to 2002 and was a senior research fellow at the Japan Institute of Inter­national Affairs and director of studies at the Japan Center for Inter­national Exchange from 1996 to 2000. From 1984 to 1996, he was a research associate and later a senior fellow in the foreign policy studies program at the Brookings Institution. He has also been a NATO fellow and a scholar-in-residence at the MacArthur Foundation's Moscow office. He is the author or editor of ten books and numerous articles and reports, including most recently the CFR publications "Enhancing U.S Crisis Preparedness," "Military Escalation in Korea," Enhancing U.S. Preventive Action, and Preparing for Sudden Change in North Korea.

Evan A. Feigenbaum is adjunct senior fellow for East, Central, and South Asia at the Council on Foreign Relations. He is also executive director of the Paulson Institute. He was previously director of Asia at the Eurasia Group and served at the State Department as deputy assis­tant secretary for South Asia, deputy assistant secretary for Central Asia, a member of the policy planning staff with principal responsi­bility for East Asia and the Pacific, and an adviser on China to Deputy Secretary of State Robert B. Zoellick. Before government service, Fei­genbaum worked at Harvard University as a lecturer on government, executive director of the Asia-Pacific security initiative, and program chair of the Chinese security studies program in the John F. Kennedy School of Government. He taught at the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School as a lecturer on national security affairs and was a consultant on China at the RAND Corporation. His publications include The United States in the New Asia, China's Techno-Warriors: National Security and Strategic Competition from the Nuclear to the Information Age, and Change in Taiwan and Potential Adversity in the Strait. He writes a regular column, "DC Diary," for the Business Standard, and contributes regu­larly to CFR's blog "Asia Unbound." Feigenbaum received his AB in his­tory from the University of Michigan and his AM and PhD in political science from Stanford University.

Joshua Kurlantzick is fellow for Southeast Asia at the Council on For­eign Relations. Kurlantzick was most recently a scholar at the Carn­egie Endowment for International Peace, where he studied Southeast Asian politics and economics and China's relations with Southeast Asia, including Chinese investment, aid, and diplomacy. Previously, he was a fellow at the University of Southern California's Center on Public Diplomacy and a fellow at the Pacific Council on International Policy. Kurlantzick has also served as a columnist for Time, a special cor­respondent for the New Republic, a senior correspondent for the Ameri­can Prospect, and a contributing writer for Mother Jones. He also serves on the editorial board of Current History. He is the winner of the Luce scholarship for journalism in Asia and was selected as a finalist for the Osborn Elliot Prize for journalism in Asia. His first book, Charm Offen­sive: How China's Soft Power is Transforming the World, was nominated for CFR's 2008 Arthur Ross Book Award. Kurlantzick received his BA in political science from Haverford College.

Daniel Markey is senior fellow for India, Pakistan, and South Asia at the Council on Foreign Relations, where he specializes in security and governance issues in South Asia. Prior to joining CFR, Markey held the South Asia portfolio on the policy planning staff at the U.S. Depart­ment of State. Prior to government service, he taught in the politics department at Princeton University, where he served as executive direc­tor of Princeton's research program in international security. Markey recently served as project director of the CFR-sponsored Independent Task Force on U.S. Strategy for Pakistan and Afghanistan, which was chaired by former deputy secretary of state Richard L. Armitage and former national security adviser Samuel R. Berger. He is the author of numerous publications, including a chapter of the Random House ebook Beyond bin Laden: America and the Future of Terror; the CFR Policy Innovation Memorandum "Next Steps for Pakistan Strategy"; the CFR Contingency Planning Memorandum "Terrorism and Indo-Pakistani Escalation"; the Asia Policy article "Developing India's Foreign Policy Software"; and the Council Special Report Securing Pakistan's Tribal Belt. Markey earned a BA in international studies from the John Hopkins University and a PhD in politics from Princeton University.

Scott A. Snyder is senior fellow for Korea studies and director of the program on U.S.-Korea policy at the Council on Foreign Relations. He was most recently director of the Center for U.S.-Korea Policy and senior associate of Washington programs in the international relations program at the Asia Foundation. Snyder lived in Seoul, South Korea, as Korea representative of the Asia Foundation from 2000 to 2004. He was an Asia specialist in the research and studies program at the U.S. Institute of Peace before joining the Asia Foundation and served as acting director of Asia Society's contemporary affairs program. Snyder is the author of China's Rise and the Two Koreas: Politics, Economics, Security. His publications include Paved With Good Intentions: The NGO Experience in North Korea (coedited with L. Gordon Flake) and Nego­tiating on the Edge: North Korean Negotiating Behavior. Snyder received a BA from Rice University and an MA from the regional studies–East Asia program at Harvard University. He was a Pantech visiting fellow at Stanford University's Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (2005–2006); an Abe fellow at the Social Sciences Research Council (1998–1999); and a Thomas G. Watson fellow at Yonsei University in South Korea (1987–1988).

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