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Senior Fellow, The Century Foundation
February 9, 2007
Op-Ed
Wall Street Journal
See more in Middle East, Iraq, Grand Strategy
Spring 2005
Article
National Interest
See more in Iraq, Wars and Warfare
October 8, 2003
Interview
See more in Turkey
May 2003
Task Force Report No. 45
Task Force Report
The North Korean nuclear program is headed in a dangerous direction. Yet the United States and its allies have not set forth a coherent or unified strategy to stop it. This Task Force report evaluates the challenges facing the United States in and around the Korean Peninsula and assesses American options for meeting them.
See more in North Korea
February 23, 2003
Interview
See more in Turkey, Middle East
November 1, 2002
Interview
See more in North Korea
September/October 2002
Foreign Affairs Article — Summary
See more in Europe/Russia
September 2001
Task Force Report No. 35
Task Force Report
Before North Korea decided to restart its nuclear weapons facilities in 2002, this blue-ribbon group of experts voiced its concern that North Korea would do just that. It warns in this report that progress made on the Korean Peninsula was fragile and “diplomatic gains achieved by the United States and South Korea in the past decade are not irreversible.” Pyongyang’s nuclear ambitions could raise tensions and produce the kind of confrontation that almost led to war in 1994. It could also lead Pyongyang to lift its self-imposed moratorium on ballistic missile tests. To head off these dangers, the Task Force urges that the Bush administration treat North Korea as a foreign policy priority and for what it is: both a fragile and a dangerous power. The Task Force recommends that the United States and its allies in the region use both economic carrots and sticks in working with Pyongyang.
See more in North Korea, Asia
July 1999
Task Force Report No. 24
Task Force Report
This report argues that, in spite of tenisons, the United States should continue to support South Korea's engagement policy and keep the comprehensive Perry proposal on the table. The Task Force recommends that North Korea might be further opened by certain symbolic changes in U.S. economic sanctions policy. However, the Task Force warns that while diplomacy with the North should not be cut off because of another missile launch, the United States and its allies would be forced by a launch to take a new approach to Pyongyang.
See more in Asia
June 1998
Task Force Report No. 17
Task Force Report
The Korean peninsula remains one of the most heavily armed and dangerous places in the world. Despite its deteriorating economy, North Korea retains a standing army of over one million men and an enormous arsenal of artillery and missiles, most of them as close to Seoul, the South Korean capital, as Dulles Airport is to downtown Washington, DC. In 1994, the United States and North Korea almost went to war over the North’s nuclear program. Since then, Washington and Seoul have attempted to cap North Korea’s nuclear ambitions through the Agreed Framework, but the threat from the North remains.
See more in North Korea, South Korea
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