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home > the cfr think tank > experts > david g. victor
Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology
Contact Info:
Phone: +1-650-724-1712
E-mail: David.Victor@stanford.edu
Location:
Stanford, CA
Media downloads:
One-page bio (PDF, 43K)
Director of recent Council-sponsored Independent Task Force that produced the report National Security Consequences of U.S. Oil Dependency. Author of the Council Policy Initiative Climate Change: Debating America’s Policy Options. Currently writing a report on the strategic petroleum reserve.
Expertise:Technology and foreign policy; energy policy; international environmental politics.
Experience:Director, Program on Energy and Sustainable Development, Stanford University (current); Senior Fellow, Stanford Institute for International Studies (current); Associate Professor (by courtesy), Department of Political Science, Stanford University; Robert W. Johnson Jr. Fellow for Science and Technology, Council on Foreign Relations (1998-present); Research Scholar, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (1997-98); Coleader, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (1993-97).
Selected Publications:National Security Consequences of U.S. Oil Dependency, Report of an Independent Task Force (Council on Foreign Relations Press, 2006); “BP’s Emissions Trading System,” Energy Policy (coauthor, 2005); Climate Change: Debating America’s Policy Options (Council on Foreign Relations Press, 2004); Technological Innovation and Economic Performance (coauthor, Princeton University Press, 2002); The Collapse of the Kyoto Protocol and the Struggle to Slow Global Warming (Princeton University Press, 2001).
Related Links:
Debating Disaster: The World is Not Enough (discussion on National Interest Online)
Current Research Projects
Past Research Projects
May 1, 2008
| Author: | David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology |
|---|
Op-Ed
Newsweek
“Leadership matters when it comes to greenery because solving most environmental issues requires a change in direction. Leaders can send signals and forge new paths. But in the area where the world thinks a single leader towers above all—namely the choice of the next American president—leadership actually matters a lot less,” says David G. Victor.
See more in Energy/Environment
April 17, 2008
| Author: | David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology |
|---|
Op-Ed
Newsweek
In this Newsweek article, David Victor writes that a large fraction of the world's oil patch is struggling with the same problem that bedevils Mexican President Felipe Calderon: how to make state-owned oil companies—which control about three quarters of the world's oil reserve—more effective at finding and producing oil. With oil output increasing only sluggishly, and demand still strong, oil prices are set to stay high for some time.
See more in Mexico, Economics, Energy
March 28, 2008
| Speakers: | Leon S. Fuerth, Shapiro Professor of International Affairs, Elliott School of International Affairs Paul J. Kern, Senior Counselor, the Cohen Group David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology, Council on Foreign Relations; Director, Program on Energy and Sustainable Development, Stanford University; Professor of Law, Stanford Law School |
|---|---|
| Presider: | Paul Stares, General John W. Vessey Senior Fellow for Conflict Prevention and Director, Center for Preventive Action |
Transcript
Concerns are increasing about the consequences of global climate change, rising consumption rates, and population growth on the availability of natural resources, including water, land, forests, oil, gas, and a variety of minerals. In the face of scarcity, are we likely to see a rise in violent conflict over valuable resources? Or is the probability of 'resource wars' much less than feared? Speakers discuss these issues at a meeting cosponsored with the Council’s Center for Preventive Action.
See more in Energy/Environment, Natural Resources Management
March 3, 2008
| Author: | David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology |
|---|
Op-Ed
Newsweek
David G. Victor explains why the United States is doomed to be an energy outlaw.
See more in United States, Energy/Environment, Energy, U.S. Strategy and Politics
February 28, 2008
| Author: | David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology |
|---|
Op-Ed
Newsweek
In this article for Newsweek, David Victor says that the deeper cause of China's recent power crisis lies in the fact that China's free-market policies—the same ones that led to China's extraordinary growth in the past decade—have eroded the government's ability to control its economy. In fact, the big challenge in the coming Asian century may not be China and India's burgeoning strength but their weakness.
See more in China, India, Energy, Energy Security, Environmental Pollution
January 31, 2008
| Author: | David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology |
|---|
Op-Ed
Newsweek
Last week brought fresh evidence that the U.S. economy is slowing and may have slipped into recession. The news has not only dimmed expectations for world economic growth, but it has also hammered oil prices, which lost $15 from the $100 high just a month earlier. The question on policymakers' lips is whether a worldwide slowdown will bring an end to the boom in demand for oil and drive prices significantly lower. In this article for Newsweek, David Victor argues that although oil prices will eventually drop as new sources come online and biofuels and other alternatives take hold, crude prices are likely to remain high and volatile for a while.
See more in Energy, Natural Resources Management
December 2, 2007
| Author: | David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology |
|---|
Op-Ed
Newsweek International
This week, the curtain rises on a fresh round of United Nations negotiations in Bali. More than 180 countries are trying to create a new international climate change agreement. In his new monthly Newsweek column, David Victor argues that without the cooperation of China - now the world's largest emitter of warming gases - the talks may be irrelevent and even harmful to the fight on global warming. China must realize its own interest in real efforts to control emissions.
See more in China, Climate Change, International Organizations
November 27, 2007
| Speaker: | Fatih Birol, Chief Economist and Head of the Economic Analysis Division, International Energy Agency |
|---|---|
| Presider: | David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology, Council on Foreign Relations; Director, Program on Energy and Sustainable Development, Stanford University; Professor, Stanford Law School |
Video
Watch Fatih Birol, chief economist of the International Energy Agency, discuss the role of China and India in the world's energy outlook.
See more in China, India, Energy
November 27, 2007
| Speaker: | Fatih Birol, Chief Economist and Head of the Economic Analysis Division, International Energy Agency |
|---|---|
| Presider: | David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology, Council on Foreign Relations; Director, Program on Energy and Sustainable Development, Stanford University; Professor, Stanford Law School |
Video
Watch Fatih Birol, chief economist of the International Energy Agency, discuss the role of China and India in the world's energy outlook.
See more in China, India, Energy
November 27, 2007
| Speaker: | Fatih Birol, Chief Economist and Head of the Economic Analysis Division, International Energy Agency |
|---|---|
| Presider: | David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology, Council on Foreign Relations; Director, Program on Energy and Sustainable Development, Stanford University; Professor, Stanford Law School |
Audio
Listen to Fatih Birol, chief economist of the International Energy Agency, discuss China and India's role in the world's energy outlook.
See more in China, India, Energy
November 26, 2007
| Speaker: | Fatih Birol, Cheif Economist and Head of the Economic Analysis Division, International Energy Agency |
|---|---|
| Presider: | David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology, The Council on Foreign Relations |
Transcript
Speaker Fatih Birol discusses international oil and gas markets in the context of 2007's global energy outlook.
See more in Energy/Environment, Energy
November 1, 2007
| Author: | David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology |
|---|
Article
National Interest
In this piece for The National Interest, David Victor looks at imagined wars that could erupt as China and India scramble for oil, as well as the various hypotheses surrounding the possibility that climate change could trigger conflicts over water and other scarce resources. He argues that "resource wars" are rising in the public imagination yet are unlikely to occur in reality.
See more in Wars and Warfare, Energy Security
September 24, 2007
| Authors: | David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology Danny Cullenward |
|---|
Article
Scientific American
The odds are high that humans will warm Earth’s climate to worrisome levels during the coming century. Policy makers in the United States, which historically has produced more CO2 emissions than any other nation while doing relatively little to tame the flow, can in particular learn much about creating viable carbon-cutting markets by studying Europe’s recent experience. In this Scientific American article, David Victor and Danny Cullenward offer several concrete suggestions on how the U.S. should go about constructing an effective national climate policy.
See more in United States, Climate Change, Congress
June 25, 2007
| Author: | David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology |
|---|
Op-Ed
Newsweek International
See more in Climate Change, Health, Science, and Technology
April 26, 2007
| Speaker: | David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology, Council on Foreign Relations; Director, Program on Energy and Sustainable Development, Stanford University |
|---|---|
| Presider: | Irina A. Faskianos, Vice President, National Program & Outreach, Council on Foreign Relations |
Audio
Listen to David G. Victor, the Council's adjunct senior fellow for science and technology, discuss energy security and U.S. oil dependency with students as part of the Council's Academic Conference Call Series.
November/December 2006
| Authors: | Michael May Scott D. Sagan David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology John Weyant |
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Article
Stanford Magazine
See more in United States, Energy, Energy Security, Natural Resources Management
October 2006
Task Force Report No. 58
Task Force Report
This report argues that the lack of sustained attention to energy issues is undercutting U.S. foreign policy and national security.
See more in United States, Energy Security
October 12, 2006
News Release
America’s dependence on imported energy increases its strategic vulnerability and constrains its ability to pursue foreign policy and national security objectives, finds a Council-sponsored Independent Task Force. “The lack of sustained attention to energy issues is undercutting U.S. foreign policy and U.S. national security,” says the report.
See more in United States, Energy Security
October 12, 2006
| Speakers: | James R. Schlesinger, Senior Adviser, Lehman Brothers; Former Secretary of Defense; Former Secretary of Energy; Task Force Chair David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology, Council on Foreign Relations; Task Force Director |
|---|---|
| Presider: | John Deutch, Institute Professor, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Former Deputy Secretary of Defense; Task Force Chair |
Transcript
Energy Task Force cochairs John Deutch and James Schlesinger discuss a new Independent Task Force report on the national security consequences of U.S. oil dependence.
See more in United States, Energy Security
October 12, 2006
| Speakers: | John Deutch, Institute Professor, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Former Deputy Secretary of Defense; Task Force Chair James R. Schlesinger, Senior Adviser, Lehman Brothers; Former Secretary of Defense; Former Secretary of Energy; Task Force Chair David G. Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science & Technology, Council on Foreign Relations; Task Force Director |
|---|
Transcript
Members of the CFR Task Force on oil dependency discuss their recently released report with members of the press.
See more in United States, Energy Security
Climate change poses threats to national security in a number of ways. In this report, sponsored by the Center for Geoeconomic Studies, Joshua W. Busby offers specific recommendations for confronting this important issue, including a list of "no-regrets" policies.
This report, by International Affairs Fellow Michelle D. Gavin and sponsored by the Center for Preventive Action, surveys the current situation in Zimbabwe and proposes steps that can increase the likelihood that regime change, when it comes, will bring constructive reform instead of conflict and state collapse.
Complete list of Council Special Reports.
For more information on the David Rockefeller Studies Program, contact:
Gary Samore
Vice President, Director of Studies, and Maurice R. Greenberg Chair
+1-212-434-9627
gsamore@cfr.org
Sebastian Mallaby
Director of the Maurice R. Greenberg Center for
Geoeconomic Studies, Deputy Director of Studies, and Paul A. Volcker Senior
Fellow for International Economics
smallaby@cfr.org
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Deputy Director of Studies Administration
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jhill@cfr.org
The David Rockefeller Studies Program is the Council’s “think tank.” Its work is integral to achieving the Council’s goal of contributing to the foreign policy debate. Fellows in the Studies Program do this by researching, writing, and commenting on the most important challenges facing the United States and the world.
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