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Intelligence Analysis: Continuity and Change

Speaker: Thomas Fingar, Deputy Director of National Intelligence for Analysis and Chairman, National Intelligence Council, Office of the Director of National Intelligence
Presider: Joseph J. Helman, National Intelligence Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations
March 18, 2008

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Dr. Thomas Fingar, the top analyst in the U.S. intelligence community, discusses post-9/11 intelligence reforms, in particular a process he calls "analystic transformation." Fingar says the analytic capabilities of his staff are hampered by an excess of new recruits and a shortage of mid-career analysts. However, new tools, such as the much touted "intellipedia" have allowed analysts to leverage more information from existing resources.

Fingar says the decision to declassify key judgements from the Iran national intelligence estimate was influenced in part by the poor handling of the prewar estimate on Iraq. While he would have preferred not to declassify the Iran estimate, Fingar says the politicized atmosphere made it necessary.

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