Newly developed long historical time series on public debt, along with modern data on external debts, allow a deeper analysis of the cycles underlying serial debt and banking crises. The evidence confirms a strong link between banking crises and sovereign default across the economic history of great many countries, advanced and emerging alike
Some of Obama's budget proposals are sound policy, but congressional gridlock and faster economic reforms in China and Europe could jeopardize U.S. competitiveness, says Economist.com editor Ryan Avent.
Gerald F. Seib views the federal budget deficit as a potential national security threat, emphasizing that budget deficits make America vulnerable to foreign pressures, allow Chinese power to grow as a result, put long-term national-security budgets at risk, and underme the American model before the rest of the world.
Many of the economic reforms under discussion now, including the fiscal stimulus and infrastructure spending, were central in the original New Deal package. But as Amity Shlaes argues in this New York Post op-ed, many of these reforms didn't work well then, and some failed outright.
The White House and Congress are currently working on an economic stimulus package to boost the U.S. economy. In this Bloomberg article, Amity Shlaes looks at short-term economic measures in a historical context and argues that tinkering with the economy may not be the best idea.
Learn more about CFR’s mission and its work over the past year in the 2015 Annual Report. The Annual Report spotlights new initiatives, high-profile events, and authoritative scholarship from CFR experts, and includes a message from CFR President Richard N. Haass. Read and download »