The U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio has nearly grown to the Group of 7 (G7) average, a dramatic increase from 2000 when it was lower than most other G7 countries, according to a new progress report and scorecard from the Council on Foreign Relations Renewing America initiative. At its current rate, the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio will be higher than all G7 countries except Japan by 2040.
The U.S. government faces an unsustainable long-term debt trajectory. This Progress Report and Scorecard outlines the factors affecting federal debt and suggests options for policymakers to address the impending crisis.
What's the difference between debt and deficit? What does the "fiscal cliff," a combination of tax increases and spending cuts, mean for deficit reduction? Research Links on Debt and Deficits provides news, research, data, and proposed solutions on debt and deficit in the United States (local and federal) and international comparisons.
CFR Senior Fellow Steven A. Cook outlines the risk factors and warning signs of a solvency crisis in Egypt in this Contingency Planning Memorandum and offers policy options to prevent such a crisis or mitigate its consequences.
Issued by the Office of Management and Budget, the Budget of the United States Government is a collection of documents that contains the budget message of the President, information about the President's budget proposals for a given fiscal year, and other budgetary publications that have been issued throughout the fiscal year. Other related and supporting budget publications, such as the Economic Report of the President, are included, which may vary from year to year.
Peter R. Orszag argues that new legislation giving health-care providers full responsibility for patient care, costs, and outcomes is an encouraging step toward increasing the quality of care supplied per Medicare dollar spent.
Peter R. Orszag argues that the United States will be unable to improve the efficiency of its health-care system unless it more aggressively pursues research into the comparative effectiveness of medical treatments.
Authors: Peter R. Orszag, Senator Sheldon Whitehouse, and Ezekiel Emanuel Bloomberg.com
Peter Orszag, Ezekiel Emanuel, and Sheldon Whitehouse argue that the success of the "tech surge" in improving HealthCare.gov should inspire President Barack Obama to mobilize a similar effort to reduce health-care costs.
It has been a generation since our country last had a robust conversation about combatting poverty. Now is the time to reinvigorate that conversation, not cut needed benefits, write Robert E. Rubin, Roger C. Altman, and Melissa Kearney.
Although the government shutdown was costly for both the economy and U.S. foreign policy, Micah Zenko points out that the United States will remain above-average and the ultimate impact was the "opportunity cost of applying finite time and resources to political theater rather than tangible policy accomplishments."
As the Tea Party's scorched-earth tactics threaten to burn down the Republican Party's house, Julia Sweig reflects on the role of factional politics and democratic expansion in U.S. history, and on the crossroads we have reached in the present day.
Peter Orszag and John Bridgeland argue that the federal government needs to do a better job of figuring out what programs work, giving more funding to the programs that are effective, and cutting funding from that programs that are not.
Michael Spence argues that continued U.S. debt ceiling brinkmanship will reinforce perceptions that American politics are helplessly parochial, encourage other nations to diversify away from holding U.S. sovereign debt, and accelerate the decline of America's global economic influence.
The Council on Foreign Relations' David Rockefeller Studies Program—CFR's "think tank"—is home to more than seventy full-time, adjunct, and visiting scholars and practitioners (called "fellows"). Their expertise covers the world's major regions as well as the critical issues shaping today's global agenda. Download the printable CFR Experts Guide.
The authors argue that the United States has responded inadequately to the rise of Chinese power and recommend placing less strategic emphasis on the goal of integrating China into the international system and more on balancing China's rise.
Campbell evaluates the implications of the Boko Haram insurgency and recommends that the United States support Nigerian efforts to address the drivers of Boko Haram, such as poverty and corruption, and to foster stronger ties with Nigerian civil society.
Koblentz argues that the United States should work with other nuclear-armed states to manage threats to nuclear stability in the near term and establish processes for multilateral arms control efforts over the longer term.
Learn more about CFR’s mission and its work over the past year in the 2014 Annual Report. The Annual Report spotlights new initiatives, high-profile events, and authoritative scholarship from CFR experts, and includes a message from CFR President Richard N. Haass. Read and download »