Oil

Audio

Saudi Arabia: A Look Ahead

Speakers: Helima Croft, F. Gregory Gause III, and Sarah Leah Whitson
Presider: Ethan Bronner

Experts discuss Saudi Arabia’s leadership transition and what it means for policymaking, oil prices, and human rights.

See more in Saudi Arabia; Human Rights; Oil

Video

Saudi Arabia: A Look Ahead

Speakers: Helima Croft, F. Gregory Gause III, and Sarah Leah Whitson
Presider: Ethan Bronner

Experts discuss Saudi Arabia’s leadership transition and what it means for policymaking, oil prices, and human rights.

See more in Saudi Arabia; Human Rights; Oil

Article

Weekend Reader: 'Market Madness: A Century of Oil Panics, Crises, and Crashes'

Author: Blake Clayton
The National Memo

In Market Madness: A Century of Oil Panics, Crises, and Crashes, stock analyst Blake C. Clayton tempers the craze surrounding oil exhaustion through a combination of historical investigation and sober, persuasive analysis. His book is a lucid, credible riposte to apocalyptic ravings about “peak oil.” Clayton examines how such panics have persisted through the decades, all unfounded, yet devastating to the market. Market Madness enjoins consumers, policymakers, and brokers to abstain from hysteria and remain informed about what the future of energy truly holds.

See more in Global; Oil

Op-Ed

Why the Oil Price Drop Matters

Author: Michael A. Levi
World Economic Forum

After three years of unusual stability around $100 a barrel, oil prices fell steeply in the second half of 2014, dropping from $115 a barrel in June to around $60 by December. With oil critical to national economies, international security and climate change, what does the apparent new world of oil mean?

See more in Global; Oil

Book

Market Madness

Author: Blake Clayton

CFR adjunct fellow Blake Clayton draws on a century's worth of statistical data to offer a revolutionary new look at volatility and crisis in oil markets. Clayton explores the conditions in which oil supply fears arise, gain popularity, and eventually wane, and demonstrates the significant effects these stories have on financial markets.

See more in Global; Financial Markets; Oil

Op-Ed

Somalia: The Next Oil Superpower?

Author: Alexander Dick-Godfrey
National Interest Online

Last month, Soma Oil and Gas, a London based energy company, searching for hydrocarbon deposits off the coast of Somalia, announced that it had completed a seismic survey to ascertain the potential for recoverable oil and gas deposits. Although further details have yet to be released, chief executive Rob Sheppard announced that the results were encouraging. However, Somalia, and potential investors, should proceed with caution when considering entering this frontier market.

See more in Somalia; Oil

Other Report

Spillovers From Falling Oil Prices: Risks to Mexico and the United States

Authors: Michael A. Levi, Alexandra Mahler-Haug, and Shannon K. O'Neil

U.S. policymakers who worry about the impact of energy developments on geopolitics typically think of high oil prices as bad news and low prices as an unalloyed good. But a sustained drop in oil prices can be dangerous as well. This paper investigates Mexican vulnerability to falling oil prices—and spillovers to the United States—to show how troublesome such a development might be.

See more in Mexico; Oil; Budget, Debt, and Deficits

Op-Ed

Why the World Missed the Oil Price Crash

Author: Michael A. Levi
The Washington Post

The recent oil price crash came as a surprise to many observers due to several critical misconceptions about oil markets, writes Michael Levi. As for prices going forward, “only the reckless would bet with any confidence on one particular outcome.”

See more in Global; Oil

Foreign Affairs Article

Vindicating Volatility

Authors: Michael A. Levi and Robert McNally

While oil prices over the last three years were the smoothest in decades, volatility is back and here to stay argue Michael Levi and Robert McNally. Levi and McNally explain how price fluctuations, rather than high prices, endanger global economic growth.

See more in Global; Oil

Op-Ed

What the 2014 Oil Crash Means

Author: Michael A. Levi
Politico Magazine

As oil prices continue to drop, Michael Levi argues that the benefit to American consumers will outweigh any damage to the U.S. economy. However, how you view this plunge in oil prices "depends a lot on where you live and what work you do."

See more in Global; Oil; Financial Markets