Authors: Brad W. Setser and Rachel Ziemba RGE Monitor
With oil at $100, what do we know about how the big oil exporters are managing their petrodollars? In this paper for RGE Monitor, Brad Setser and Rachel Ziemba examine the different GCC funds and estimate that total Gulf investment abroad exceeded $2 trillion in 2007. One surprising conclusion that emerges from their analysis is that the Gulf as a whole has not diversified away from the dollar.
Speaker: Song Min-soon Presider: Stephen W. Bosworth
Listen to Song Min-soon, minister of foreign affairs and trade for the Republic of Korea, discuss security issues in Northeast Asia, with specific regard to the Six-Party Talks and the upcoming South-North summit.
Speaker: Song Min-soon Presider: Stephen W. Bosworth
Watch Song Min-soon, minister of foreign affairs and trade for the Republic of Korea, discuss security issues in Northeast Asia, with specific regard to the Six-Party Talks and the upcoming South-North summit.
Maureen Meyer, associate for Mexico and Central America at the Washington Office on Latin America, discusses the violent run-up to Guatemala's September 8 elections and public security issues in Central America.
John Tirman of the MIT Center for International Studies argues that a new engagement with the regional players in an effort end the Iraq war is inevitable. The idea of bringing in the neighbors to help stabilize and reduce the violence in Iraq is very attractive, and could contribute to a plausible exit strategy for the United States. The article discusses the merits of different versions of “regionalization”.
In announcing a new tack on Iraq, President Bush chastised Iran and Syria for meddling in their neighbor’s affairs, brushed aside appeals for direct talks, and deployed an additional carrier-strike group to the region.
Authors: Christopher M. Blanchard, Kenneth Katzman, Carol Migdalovitz, Alfred B. Prados, and Jeremy M. Sharp
Congressional Research Service report that provides information about the current perspectives and policies of Iraq’s neighbors; analyzes potential regional responses to continued insurgency, wider sectarian or ethnic violence, and long-term stabilization; discusses shared concerns and U.S. long-term regional interests; and reviews U.S. policy options for responding to various contingencies.
A special report from USIP in a series looking at Iraq and its neighbours, on the role Jordan is playing in the effort to stabilize Iraq. USIP says Jordan wants a strong, stable, moderate, and unified Iraq. Having wrestled with the dilemmas of an assertive Iraq for many years, Jordan—like Iraq's other neighbors—now faces a myriad of challenges presented by a weak Iraq. The kingdom, for years a linchpin in the U.S. strategy to promote peace and stability in the region, is now less secure in the wake of the U.S.-led occupation of Iraq. Jordanian leaders worry that Iraq is becoming a haven for terrorist groups, a fear dramatically heightened by the November 2005 suicide bombings in Amman. Jordan also has an interest in the development of an Iraq that does not inspire radical Islamist politics in Jordan. Moreover, the kingdom is anxious about growing Iranian involvement in Iraqi politics, and—more broadly—increasing Iranian and Shiite influence in the region.
Richard C. Holbrooke interviewed by Lionel Beehner
Former U.S. Ambassador to the UN Richard C. Holbrooke says a Bosnia-like regional conference on Iraq is a “very good idea” but that “none of the major factors that occurred in Bosnia would apply here.”
The new prime minister of Japan, Shinzo Abe, faces the difficult task of mending frayed relations with China and South Korea. Experts say that Abe has made initial progress, but the North Korea nuclear test presents new challenges for northeast Asian relations.
The African Union is assuming an increasingly high-profile role in peacekeeping on the continent, most recently in Sudan’s Darfur region. But the young institution faces organizational and financial barriers that are limiting its effectiveness.
Speakers: Toby Dodge, Steven Simon, and Shibley Telhami
F. Gregory Gause III leads a discussion on the impact of the U.S. intervention in Iraq on the wider Middle East. Shibley Telhami sums up the discussion by acknowledging that pulling out of Iraq today could lead toward even more civil war but says, “At this point, whatever we do, we have very little impact on the outcome in Iraq, whether we stay or go.”
Australia is assuming a more prominent role in Pacific Rim security affairs, increasingly deploying forces to troubled states in the region in an attempt to stabilize them. While its moves are welcomed by some of its neighbors, others are wary of Canberra's strong military and its close relationship with Washington.
The Council on Foreign Relations' David Rockefeller Studies Program—CFR's "think tank"—is home to more than seventy full-time, adjunct, and visiting scholars and practitioners (called "fellows"). Their expertise covers the world's major regions as well as the critical issues shaping today's global agenda. Download the printable CFR Experts Guide.
The authors argue that it is essential to begin working now to expand and establish rules and norms governing armed drones, thereby creating standards of behavior that other countries will be more likely to follow.
The author examines Pakistan's complex role in U.S. foreign policy and advocates for a two-pronged approach that works to quarantine threats while integrating Pakistan into the broader U.S. agenda in Asia.