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Project on Financial Vulnerabilities and Foreign Policy
Staff:
Roger M. Kubarych
September 1, 1999 - June 30, 2001
The objective of this project was to develop research findings and expert advice that policymakers can use to help prepare for an unexpected financial mishap, and perhaps take steps to mitigate its adverse consequences, both at the domestic and international level. A four-part series of Council events provided the means to examine the links between the financial markets and broader economic, foreign policy, and national security concerns: (1) A roundtable at which the participants, including market practitioners, scholars, and former senior officials review the lessons learned from past stock market disturbances and the policy responses to them and identify the economic and financial vulnerabilities in the current environment; (2) a scenario-building roundtable; (3) a policy simulation in which a small number of experienced policy thinkers and former policymakers will work through the options and constraints facing the U.S. government in the aftermath of a sudden and significant stock market decline; (4) a conference to disseminate the findings of the roundtable and simulation. The conference held on July 12-13, provided a forum to raise the broadest possible perspective on the intersection of financial markets, the global economy, foreign policy, and national security.
Judith K. Paulus, Adviser to the Chairman, Sara Lee Corporation
Speaker:
Roger M. Kubarych, Henry Kaufman Senior Fellow in International Economics and Finance, Council on Foreign Relations
Roger Kubarych will give an overview of the Council on Foreign Relations Financial Vulnerabilities Project and summarize his findings and recommendations
on thinking through the policy implications of a major downturn in the U.S. financial markets.
Financial Vulnerabilities: Lessons Learned and Implications for Foreign Policymaking (Los Angeles)
Roger M. Kubarych, Henry Kaufman Senior Fellow in International Economics and Finance, Council on Foreign Relations
Roger Kubarych will give an overview of the Council on Foreign Relations Financial Vulnerabilities Project and summarize his findings and recommendations
on thinking through the policy implications of a major downturn in the U.S. financial markets.
Financial Vulnerabilities: Lessons Learned and Implications for Foreign Policymaking (Houston)
Richard D. Quay, Counsel, Law Department, Exxon Mobil
Speaker:
Roger M. Kubarych, Henry Kaufman Senior Fellow in International Economics and Finance, Council on Foreign Relations
Roger Kubarych will give an overview of the Council on Foreign Relations Financial Vulnerabilities Project and summarize his findings and recommendations
on thinking through the policy implications of a major downturn in the U.S. financial markets.
Financial Vulnerabilities: Lessons Learned and Implications for Foreign Policymaking (Dallas)
Scott L. Miller, Principal, Miller Global Investments
Speaker:
Roger M. Kubarych, Henry Kaufman Senior Fellow in International Economics and Finance, Council on Foreign Relations
Roger Kubarych will give an overview of the Council on Foreign Relations Financial Vulnerabilities Project and summarize his findings and recommendations
on thinking through the policy implications of a major downturn in the U.S. financial markets.
Assessing Financial Vulnerabilities and Uncovering New Investment Opportunities: The Global Dimension
The conference will bring together serious professionals from the financial markets, business, and the policy communities to explore better ways of identifying and managing risks in the global system. The conference will build on three earlier successful exercises. The first was a roundtable last fall that reviewed the lessons learned from past financial disturbances and sought to identify current vulnerabilities. The second was an extraordinary policy simulation or "war game" that took place here in January, effectively a "stress test" of the global economic, financial, and political system. And the third was a two-day conference on "The Next Financial Crisis: Warning Signs, Damage Control and Impact" held in New York in June at which Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan was the keynote speaker.
As you can see in the linked agenda, the issues we will tackle and the quality of speakers make this a truly unique event.
Stress-Testing the System: Simulating the Global Consequences of the Next Financial Crisis
The authors of this CSR explain why the United States needs to place greater emphasis on preventive action and how current organizational arrangements can be changed to meet that need.
This report addresses pan-Asian and trans-Pacific architectures and guidelines for how the United States can revise its approach in order to consolidate and improve the efficacy of these Asian institutions.
Through compelling analysis and rich historical examples that span the globe and range from the thirteenth century through the present, Charles A. Kupchan explores how adversaries can transform enmity into amity, and exposes prevalent myths about the causes of peace.
With the insights of geopolitical experts and investors, the authors examine Israel's adversity-driven culture to offer prescriptions for a global economy on the rebound.
Vali Nasr reveals that there is a vital but unseen rising force in the Islamic world—a new business-minded middle class—that is building a vibrant new Muslim world economy and that holds the key to winning the cold war against Iran and extremists.
For more information on the David Rockefeller Studies Program, contact:
James M. Lindsay Senior Vice President, Director of Studies, and Maurice R. Greenberg Chair +1.212.434.9626 (NY); +1.202.509.8405 (DC) jlindsay@cfr.org