Study Group on Assessing the Future of Chinese Power
Director: Thomas Christensen
Chair: Harry Harding
Staff: Richard K. Betts, Adjunct Senior Fellow for National Security Studies
September 1, 1998 - June 1, 2000
Some of the principal issues in international politics in the next century will be how powerful China becomes, whether its military capabilities will develop commensurately with its economic output, and what challenges Chinese power will pose to regional and global order. Launched in January 1999, this study group held meetings in New York and Washington, D.C., to discuss the interrelationships of political, economic, and military developments in the evolution of Chinese power. Special attention was devoted to considering what might be learned from the experiences of other rising powers, the roles of other major powers in Asia (Japan, Russia, India), and problems in translating economic progress into modern military effectiveness. Richard K. Betts and Thomas J. Christensen are producing an article that draws on the discussions.
Meetings
Study Group Meeting
Reassessing the Role of Leadership Politics in Chinese Foreign Policy
Presider: Thomas Christensen, Associate Professor of Political Science, MIT
January 25, 2000
Study Group Meeting
China's Military Capabilities
Presider: Harry Harding
Speakers: Michael Pillsbury, Defense Intelligence Agency
Lonnie Henley
May 5, 1999
Study Group Meeting
China's Relations with Other Powers in Asia
Presider: Harry Harding
Speakers: Chas W. Freeman, Projects International, Inc.
Michael J. Green, Council on Foreign Relations
March 31, 1999
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Study Group Meeting
China and the East Asian Balance of Power
Presider: Richard K. Betts
Speakers: Arthur Waldron, University of Pennsylvania
Robert S. Ross
March 1, 1999
Study Group Meeting
Can China Be Powerful Without Being a Problem?
Presider: Harry Harding
Speaker: Thomas Christensen, Professor of Political Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
January 5, 1999