Roundtable on Country Risk Analysis in the Post-Asia Crisis
Directors: Albert Fishlow, and Barbara Samuels
Chair: Robert D. Hormats
Staff: Roger M. Kubarych
October 1, 1998 - May 1, 1999
This roundtable analyzed the role country risk analysis played in the Asian financial crisis and subsequent meltdowns in Russia and Brazil. The group, consisting of foreign investors, rating agency analysts, developing country borrowers, and representatives of multilateral agencies and emerging market governments, critically re-evaluated the standard methodology, analytical approaches, and data utilization that are used in assessing sovereign risk. A report detailing the findings of the group will be published in the fall of 1999.
Meetings
Roundtable Meeting
Identifying Risks, Strategies, and Policy Implications—Working Group on Bond Debt Restructuring
Presider: Walter Molano, Senior Managing Director, BCP Securities
November 29, 1999
Roundtable Meeting
Session VI: Risks, Strategies, and Policy Implications
Presider: Roger M. Kubarych
May 3, 1999
Roundtable Meeting
Session V: Risks, Strategies, and Policy Implications
Presider: Robert D. Hormats
Speakers: Edmar Bacha, BBA Securities Corp.
Bo Yung Chung, Bank of Korea
Yasheng Huang, Harvard University
February 17, 1999
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Roundtable Meeting
Session IV: The Perspective of the Multilaterals and the Rating Agencies—Part II
Presider: Roger M. Kubarych
Speakers: Amar Bhattacharya, The World Bank
Dan Bond, Duff & Phelps
Karen Morr, Central Intelligence Agency
Gabriel Torres, Fitch IBCA
January 11, 1999
Roundtable Meeting
Session III: The Perspective of the Multilaterals and the Rating Agencies—Part I
Presider: Robert D. Hormats
Speakers: Lacey Gallagher, Standard & Poor's Ratings Group
Vincent Truglia, Moody's Investors, Inc.
Jack Boorman
December 15, 1998
Roundtable Meeting
Session II: The Role of the Private Sector
Presider: Roger M. Kubarych
Speakers: Dominique Clavel, The Chase Manhattan Corporation
Nancy Northrop, Alliance Capital Management International
David Roberts, NationsBanc Montgomery Securities
November 16, 1998
Roundtable Meeting
Session I: Identifying Risk, Strategies and Policy Implications
Presiders: Robert D. Hormats, Henry Kaufman Senior Fellow in International Economics and Finance
Roger M. Kubarych
Speaker: William Cline, Institute for International Finance
October 15, 1998