Project on Financial Vulnerabilities and Foreign Policy

Staff: Roger M. Kubarych
September 1, 1999 - June 30, 2001

The objective of this project was to develop research findings and expert advice that policymakers can use to help prepare for an unexpected financial mishap, and perhaps take steps to mitigate its adverse consequences, both at the domestic and international level. A four-part series of Council events provided the means to examine the links between the financial markets and broader economic, foreign policy, and national security concerns: (1) A roundtable at which the participants, including market practitioners, scholars, and former senior officials review the lessons learned from past stock market disturbances and the policy responses to them and identify the economic and financial vulnerabilities in the current environment; (2) a scenario-building roundtable; (3) a policy simulation in which a small number of experienced policy thinkers and former policymakers will work through the options and constraints facing the U.S. government in the aftermath of a sudden and significant stock market decline; (4) a conference to disseminate the findings of the roundtable and simulation. The conference held on July 12-13, provided a forum to raise the broadest possible perspective on the intersection of financial markets, the global economy, foreign policy, and national security.

Meetings

National Program Meeting

Financial Vulnerabilities: Lessons Learned and Implications for Foreign Policymaking (San Francisco)

Panelist:

Judith K. Paulus, Adviser to the Chairman, Sara Lee Corporation

Speaker:

Roger M. Kubarych, Henry Kaufman Senior Fellow in International Economics and Finance, Council on Foreign Relations
January 26, 2001

This meeting is not for attribution.

National Program Meeting

Financial Vulnerabilities: Lessons Learned and Implications for Foreign Policymaking (Los Angeles)

Panelist:

Robert E. Denham, Partner, Munger, Tolles & Olson

Speaker:

Roger M. Kubarych, Henry Kaufman Senior Fellow in International Economics and Finance, Council on Foreign Relations
January 25, 2001

This meeting is not for attribution.

National Program Meeting

Financial Vulnerabilities: Lessons Learned and Implications for Foreign Policymaking (Dallas)

Panelist:

Scott L. Miller, Principal, Miller Global Investments

Speaker:

Roger M. Kubarych, Henry Kaufman Senior Fellow in International Economics and Finance, Council on Foreign Relations
January 24, 2001

This meeting is not for attribution.

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National Program Meeting

Financial Vulnerabilities: Lessons Learned and Implications for Foreign Policymaking (Houston)

Panelist:

Richard D. Quay, Counsel, Law Department, Exxon Mobil

Speaker:

Roger M. Kubarych, Henry Kaufman Senior Fellow in International Economics and Finance, Council on Foreign Relations
January 24, 2001

This meeting is not for attribution.

Conference Panel Session

Assessing Financial Vulnerabilities and Uncovering New Investment Opportunities: The Global Dimension

December 6, 2000

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Stress-Testing the System: Simulating the Global Consequences of the Next Financial Crisis

Speaker:

Roger M. Kubarych
November 10, 2000

This meeting is not for attribution.

National Program Meeting

Stress-Testing the System

Panelists:

Kenneth W. Dam, (Central Banking Group Chair) Max Pam Professor of American and Foreign Law, University of Chicago Law School, Michael H. Moskow, (Economic and Trade Policy Group Chair) President, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, John E. Rielly, (Foreign Policy and National Security Group Chair) President, Chicago Council on Foreign Relations

Speaker:

Roger M. Kubarych, Henry Kaufman Senior Fellow in International Economics and Finance, Council on Foreign Relations
September 26, 2000

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Financial Vulnerabilities

Speaker:

Roger M. Kubarych
September 29, 1999

This meeting is not for attribution.