Center for Preventive Action Contingency Roundtable Series

Director: Paul B. Stares, General John W. Vessey Senior Fellow for Conflict Prevention and Director of the Center for Preventive Action
March 2009 - Present

This monthly meeting series seeks to organize focused discussions on plausible short to medium term contingencies that could seriously threaten U.S. interests. Contingency meeting topics will range from specific states or regions of concern to more thematic issues and will draw on the expertise of government and nongovernment experts. The goal of the meeting series is not only to raise awareness of U.S. government officials and the expert community to potential crises but also to generate practical policy options to lessen the likelihood of the contingency and to reduce the negative consequences should it occur. A summary memo of the resulting recommendations will be distributed to participants and important policymakers.

This series is made possible by the generous support of the Rockefeller Brothers Fund.

 

Summary Memoranda

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Meetings

Roundtable Meeting

Potential Trajectories of Sectarian Conflict in the Middle East

August 1, 2013

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Spillover from Syria: Managing the Threat

Speakers:

Douglas A. Ollivant, Mantid International, LLC, Robert Satloff, The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, Mona Yacoubian, Stimson Center

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, General John W. Vessey Senior Fellow for Conflict Prevention and Director of the Center for Preventive Action, Council on Foreign Relations
May 30, 2013

This meeting is on the record.

Watch

Advisory Committee

Afghanistan After the American Drawdown

Speakers:

Seth G. Jones, RAND Corporation, Keith Crane, RAND Corporation

Presider:

Marc Grossman, The Cohen Group
May 2, 2013

This meeting is not for attribution.

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Roundtable Meeting

Instability in Egypt

Speaker:

Steven A. Cook, Hasib J. Sabbagh Senior Fellow for Middle Eastern Studies, Council on Foreign Relations

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, General John W. Vessey Senior Fellow for Conflict Prevention and Director of the Center for Preventive Action, Council on Foreign Relations
April 23, 2013

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

An Ambiguous Cyberattack on the United States or Allied Country

Speaker:

Martin Libicki, RAND Corporation

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, General John W. Vessey Senior Fellow for Conflict Prevention and Director of the Center for Preventive Action, Council on Foreign Relations
April 5, 2013

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Political Instability in Jordan

Speakers:

Robert Satloff, The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, David Schenker, The Washington Institute for Near East Policy

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
January 15, 2013

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Preventing Chemical Weapon Use in Syria

Speakers:

Michael Eisenstadt, Senior Fellow and Director of the military and security studies program, Washington Institute for Near East Policy, Leonard S. Spector, Deputy Director, Monterey Institute's Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Paul B. Stares, eneral John W. Vessey Senior Fellow for Conflict Prevention and Director of the Center for Preventive Action, Council on Foreign Relations
December 14, 2012

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Electoral-related Violence in Kenya

Speaker:

Joel D. Barkan, Senior Associate, Center for Strategic and International Studies

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, General John W. Vessey senior fellow for conflict prevention and director of the Center for Preventative Action, Council on Foreign Relations
September 25, 2012

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Violent Instability in Venezuela

Speaker:

Patrick D. Duddy, Duke University

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
June 6, 2012

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Post-U.S. Instability in Iraq

Speaker:

Douglas A. Ollivant, New America Foundation

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
April 18, 2012

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Managing a Fractured Syria

Speaker:

Daniel L. Byman, Georgetown University; The Brookings Institution

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
February 14, 2012

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Rising Tension in the Eastern Mediterranean

Speaker:

Steven A. Cook, Council on Foreign Relations

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
November 2, 2011

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Hitting the Homeland: Pakistan-based Terrorist

Speakers:

Stephen Tankel, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Shuja Nawaz, Atlantic Council

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
September 7, 2011

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Eurozone Default Crisis

Speaker:

Richard Madsen, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
July 27, 2011

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Post-Qaddafi Instability in Libya

Speaker:

Daniel Serwer, Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
July 11, 2011

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Pakistan-based Terrorist Attack on the United States

Speaker:

Steven Simon, Council on Foreign Relations

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
February 24, 2011

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

U.S.-PRC Military Incident

Speaker:

Michael A. McDevitt, USN (Ret.), CNA Strategic Studies

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
January 14, 2011

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

New Challenges in the Congo

Speaker:

John Marks, National Endowment for Democracy

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
October 12, 2010

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Military Escalation in Korea

Speaker:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations

Presider:

Sheila A. Smith, Council on Foreign Relations
September 8, 2010

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

A Third Lebanon War?

Speaker:

Daniel C. Kurtzer, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
May 25, 2010

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

A Coup in Nigeria

Speaker:

John Campbell, Council on Foreign Relations

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
April 19, 2010

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Prospects for Violent Instability in Iran

Speaker:

Michael Singh, Washington Institute for Near East Policy

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
March 19, 2010

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Renewed Conflict in Sudan

Speakers:

Katherine Almquist Knopf, U.S. Agency for International Development, Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
January 14, 2010

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting ⁄ Washington, DC

Indo-Pakistani Crisis Sparked by Terrorism

Speakers:

Daniel S. Markey, Senior Fellow for India, Pakistan, and South Asia, CFR, Paul B. Stares, General John W. Vessey Senior Fellow for Conflict Prevention, CFR
November 17, 2009

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting ⁄ Washington, DC

An Israeli Strike on Iran

Speaker:

Steven Simon, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Middle Eastern Studies, CFR

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, General John W. Vessey Senior Fellow for Conflict Prevention, CFR
September 29, 2009

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Ukraine at Risk

Speaker:

Steven Pifer, Brookings Institution

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
June 4, 2009

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Now Out of Never? Stability and Instability in Egypt

Speaker:

Steven A. Cook, Council on Foreign Relations

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
May 5, 2009

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Potential Reversal in Iraq

Speaker:

Stephen D. Biddle, Council on Foreign Relations

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
April 9, 2009

This meeting is not for attribution.

Roundtable Meeting

Dollar Crisis Contingency

Speaker:

Brad W. Setser, Council on Foreign Relations

Presider:

Paul B. Stares, Council on Foreign Relations
March 11, 2009

This meeting is not for attribution.