Study Group on the Arms Trade and the Transnationalization of the Defense Industry: Economic versus Security Drivers
Director: Ann R. Markusen
Chair: Richard Ravitch
October 1, 1998 - June 1, 2000
Since the end of the Cold War, economic and defense industrial-base concerns have become increasingly pervasive in U.S. arms export policy. The sale of sophisticated weapons by U.S. defense companies to countries around the world may adversely affect national security, encourage arms and capacity proliferation, and set off an expensive arms race among allies. The potential for transnational mergers that will create mega-firms complicates the arms export discussion in this era.
This study group assembled a broad range of individuals, from policymakers and academics to peace and human rights activists, to investigate the phenomenon and debate policy responses. Through monthly meetings over the last year, including three in Europe, study group participants addressed the following questions: What security concerns should drive arms export policy? Have arms exports in fact kept production and R&D lines "hot," available for next generation systems? If so, is this necessary? Have arms exports lowered the cost of weapons to the Pentagon? How much do arms exports contribute to the U.S. trade balance, net of subsidies and offsets? Are exports creating pressure for arms innovation that would not otherwise exist? What policies can be recommended for U.S. arms export regulation and conventional arms trade negotiations? In addition this year, the study group will investigate the causes and consequences of growing transnational cooperation and merging among major defense contractors, linking arms export policy with industrial base regulatory initiatives. The final products will be a series of on-line background papers, a journal article, and shorter policy and op-ed pieces.
Meetings
Study Group Meeting
Problems and Prospects Facing Second-Tier Arms-Producing States in the 21st Century
Discussant: Phil Finnegan, The Teal Group
Panelist: Rodney W. Nichols, New York Academy of Sciences
Speaker: Richard Bitzinger, Atlantic Council of the United States
December 15, 2000
Study Group Meeting
Running Guns: The Global Black Market in Small Arms
Presider: Ann R. Markusen, Senior Fellow, Industrial Policy, Council on Foreign Relations
Panelist: David Gold, Center for Global Change & Governance
Speakers: Lora Lumpe, International Peace & Research Institute
Pete Abel, The Omega Foundation
October 6, 2000
Conference Panel Session
The Peace Dividend: What’s Happened Since the End of the Cold War?
Panelist: Ann R. Markusen, Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations
June 14, 2000
Contact: Harpreet Mann 212-434-9613 or hmann@cfr.org
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Study Group Meeting
American Small Arms Exports Policy: Pros and Cons
Panelists: Richard Ravitch, (New York Chair); Ravitch, Rice & Co., University of Minnesota
Kenneth H. Keller, (Minneapolis Chair); Charles M. Denny Jr. Professor of Science, Technology, and Public Policy
Speakers: Lora Lumpe, Consultant, International Peace Research Institute (Oslo)
Ann R. Markusen, Senior Fellow, Industrial Policy, Council on Foreign Relations
April 11, 2000
Study Group Meeting
American and Multilateral Arms Export Policy
Speaker: Ann R. Markusen, Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations
March 17, 2000
Study Group Meeting
American and Multilateral Arms Export Policy—Session One: Illiberal Trade and Globalization
Panelist: Ann R. Markusen
Speakers: Nicole Ball, Overseas Development Council
Malcolm Holmes, World Bank
Steve Staples, Council of Canadians
March 17, 2000
Study Group Meeting
American and Multilateral Arms Export Policy—Session Two: Multilateral Initiatives and Codes of Conduct
Panelist: Gordon M. Adams, George Washington University
Speaker: Joseph R. Smaldone, U.S. Department of State
March 17, 2000
Study Group Meeting
American and Multilateral Arms Export Policy—Session Three: American Export Licensing and Regulation
Panelist: Colin Clark, Defence News
Speakers: Jeffrey Bialos, U.S. Department of Defence
David Fite, House International Relations Committee
Robert W. Maggi, U.S. Department of State
March 17, 2000
Study Group Meeting
American and Multilateral Arms Export Policy—Session Four: The Export of Defense Services: Training and Privatization
Panelist: David Berteau, SAIC
Speakers: Deborah Avant, George Washington University
Lora Lumpe, Amnesty International USA
Tim Spicer, Sandline International
March 17, 2000
Study Group Meeting
American and Multilateral Arms Export Policy—Session Five: Small Arms Trade Policy
Panelist: David Gold, United Nations
Speakers: Michael T. Klare, Hampshire College
Tamar Gabelnick, Federation of American Scientists
Mark Barnes, Mark Barnes and Associates
Jonathan Winer, Alston & Bird
March 17, 2000
Study Group Meeting
American and Multilateral Arms Export Policy—Session Six: U.S. Subsidies and Promotion for the Arms Trade
Panelist: Judith V. Reppy, Cornell University
Speakers: William Hartung, World Policy Institute
Arthur R. Keltz, U.S. Defense Security Cooperation Agency
Brian Moran, Office of U.S. Senator Byron Dorgan
March 17, 2000
Study Group Meeting
Transatlantic Defense Consolidation: Profit or Non-Profit?
Panelist: Richard Ravitch, Ravitch, Rice & Company
Speakers: James J. Franklin, Franklin & Associates
Michael N. Pocalyko, Monticello Capital, LLC
February 4, 2000
Part of the Study Group on the Arms Trade and the Transnationalization of the Defense Industry: Economic versus Security Drivers.
National Program Meeting
Revisiting the Defense Industrial Build-down
Discussant: John M. Shalikashvili
Presider: Richard Ravitch, Principal, Ravitch, Rice & Co, New York Chair
Panelist: Ann R. Markusen, Senior Fellow, Industrial Policy, Council on Foreign Relations, Menlo Park Chair
Speaker: William J. Perry, Michael and Barbara Berberian Professor, Stanford University; Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution; former U.S. Secretary of Defense
January 14, 2000
From Menlo Park, William Perry will give a retrospective on the innovative defense industrial policy put into place during the 1990s and talk about next steps.
This event was hosted by Sharon I. Meers, Vice President, Goldman Sachs & Co.
Study Group Meeting
The Case Against Privatizing National Security
Presider: Richard Ratvich, Principal, Ranten, Rice & Co.
Speaker: Ann R. Markusen, Senior Fellow, Industrial Policy, Council on Foreign Relations
October 1, 1999
Study Group Meeting
Defense Industrial Restructuring in Eight Countries
Presider: Richard Ravitch
Speaker: Ann R. Markusen
September 10, 1999
Study Group Meeting
Industry Views on Transatlantic Mergers, Partnerships, and Cooperation
Presider: Gordon M. Adams
Speakers: Jean Betemier, Aerospatiale
Andrew Hargreaves, Daimler Chrysler Aerospace
Bruce Jackson, Lockheed Martin
Geoffrey Pattie, GEC Marconi
May 10, 1999
Study Group Meeting
Arms Exports and the Transnationalization of the Defense Industry
Presider: Gordon M. Adams
Speakers: Jean Betemier, Aerospatiale
Andrew Hargreaves, Daimler Chrysler Aerospace
Bruce Jackson, Lockheed Martin
Geoffrey Pattie, GEC Marconi
May 10, 1999
Study Group Meeting
Government Views on a Transnational Defense Industrial Base
Presider: Ann R. Markusen
Speakers: Victor Ciardello, U.S. Department of State
John Howe, British Ministry of Defense
Rudiger Ludeking, Embassy of Germany to the United Kingdom
May 10, 1999
Study Group Meeting
Arms Export Policy with Increasing Defense Industrial Globalization
Presider: Terence Taylor
Speakers: Lora Lumpe, Saferworld, PRIO
Ian Davis, British Ministry of Defense
Paul Shulte, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, France
Gilles Andreani, American Aerospace Industries Association
Joel Johnson
May 10, 1999
Study Group Meeting
Prospects for a Transnational Defense Industry
Presider: Richard Ravitch
Speakers: Graham Chisnall, British Aerospace
Jean Barrio, Lagardere Group
Joel Johnson, Aerospace Industries Association
Frederique Sachwald, Institut Francais des Relations Internationales
April 20, 1999
Study Group Meeting
Government Policy Toward Transnational Mergers and Cooperation
Presider: Richard Ravitch
Speakers: Jean Fournet, French DGA
Steve Grundmun, U.S. Department of Defense
Guillaume Schlumberger, French DAS
Ann R. Markusen
April 20, 1999
Study Group Meeting
Defense to Development: A Decade of Defense Conversion in Eight Countries
Commentator: Ann R. Markusen, Council on Foreign Relations
Speakers: Suda Maheshwari, Rutgers University
David Lewis, Rutgers University
Yong Sook Lee, Rutgers University
Soraya Goga, Rutgers University
Shaolin Chen, Rutgers University
Graziela Cavicchia, Rutgers University
Antonia Casellas, Rutgers University
Presider: Richard Ravitch
Commentator: Sean DiGiovanna, Rutgers University
Speaker: Marla Nelson, Rutgers University
April 13, 1999
National Program Meeting
Videoconferenced Study Group on the Arms Trade and the Transnationalization of the Defense Industry
Commentators: Geneese Gottschalk, (Atlanta)
William E. Hoehn Jr., (Atlanta)
Panelist: Linda Parrish Brady, (Atlanta)
Speaker: Ann R. Markusen, Senior Fellow, Industrial Policy, Council on Foreign Relations
March 11, 1999
In the Councils first videoconferenced seminar, Ann Markusen will present from New York her paper on the transnational defense industry to study groups in Atlanta and New York. Linda Brady, Chair and Professor, Sam Nunn School of International Affairs, Georgia Institute of Technology, will chair the ensuing discussion between the two groups from Atlanta.
This seminar will examine how exports of sophisticated weapons may pose problems of national security and make it difficult to succeed in conventional arms control initiatives.
Study Group Meeting
American Arms Export Policy: A Review and Evaluation of Post Cold War Developments
Presider: Cora Weiss, Samuel Rubin Foundation
Speaker: Janne E. Nolan, Georgetown University
February 10, 1999
Study Group Meeting
Developments in the West European Arms Industry
Discussant: Jeffrey J. Roncka, U.S. Department of Defense
Presider: Judith V. Reppy
Speaker: Elisabeth Skoens, SIPRI
January 29, 1999
Study Group Meeting
The International Trade in Light Weapons: What Do We Know, What Should Be Done?
Presider: David Z. Robinson
Speaker: Michael T. Klare
January 15, 1999
Study Group Meeting
False Expectations: Can Arms Exports Make Up for Cuts in Pentagon Procurement?
Discussant: Richard Grimmett, Congressional Research Service
Presider: Richard Ravitch
Speaker: William Hartung, World Policy Institute
November 20, 1998
Study Group Meeting
Should We Welcome a Transnational Defense Industry?
Discussants: Judith V. Reppy, Cornell University
David Gold, United Nations
Presider: Richard Ravitch
Speaker: Ann R. Markusen
October 2, 1998