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home > by publication type > backgrounders > Rebuilding Iraq
| Author: | Greg Bruno, Staff Writer |
|---|
Updated: January 17, 2008
It’s been a long climb for the cradle of civilization. After a flourish of architectural genius in the late-1950s (Frank Lloyd Wright once had a major project in Baghdad), and a brief stop at the top of the Arab world’s development index in the 1970s, Iraqi infrastructure has foundered. Frequent power outages and poor water quality defined Iraqi daily life during the country’s eight-year war with Iran in the 1980s, the economic sanctions of the 1990s, and the current war with the United States. But today, while improvements to basic services are marked by regular setbacks, there are signs of gradual progress. One basic measure of stability—power production—reached its highest level since the U.S.-led invasion in October 2007. Local government officials are making efforts to collect garbage and clean up long-neglected parks in places like Baghdad. And oil production—the lifeblood of Iraq—rebounded in early 2007 and is hovering at prewar levels.
While political progress has lagged, U.S. and Iraqi officials have made inroads restoring government services. The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, for instance, is helping to build a sewage-treatment plant (PDF) in Fallujah, that city’s first ever. Army engineers are building roads in Dhi Qar province, post offices in Diwaniyah, and a host of other civil-society projects around the country. Many are now being handed over to Iraqis for operation. “On services like electricity things have been improving lately, in large part I suspect because the volume of attacks on infrastructure has gone down,” says Stephen Biddle, CFR senior fellow for defense policy. “As the violence level goes down, service provision will naturally pick up.”
Some Iraqis say progress has been painfully slow. “It was much better in prewar times than today,” says Abbas Mehdi, a former advisor to Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki. “In terms of security, Saddam [Hussein] was a criminal. But at least people used to go out, the schools were open, things like that.” Yet others say a recent political push from Baghdad is finally, five years after the war began, producing tangible results. “They're taking a kind of ombudsman approach to solving things now,” a senior U.S. diplomat told the Washington Post. “That's new.”
The United States has offered up the lion’s share of redevelopment funding for Iraq. Money from a series of emergency reconstruction caches, the largest being the Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF), have supported a wide range of sectors, from water and sanitation, food delivery and production, security, electricity, and rule of law. An original supplemental signed in April 2003 appropriated $2.5 billion to IRRF; an additional $18.4 billion was added in November 2003; to date roughly $45 billion has been allocated by Washington. The United States Agency for International Development has also launched a microfinance loan program for Iraqi entrepreneurs in Anbar province, with $530,000 allocated (AFPS). Yet funds from the initial round of aid are drying up, and Iraq is increasingly turning to non-U.S. donors for assistance. In late 2007 Japan and the World Bank authorized the issuance of $2.5 billion in infrastructure rehabilitation projects. The United Nations Development Program spent $482 million between 2003 and 2006, and plans to spend an additional $175 million in 2007 and beyond. The Iraqi government has also inked deals with neighboring states. In November 2007 Kuwait awarded its northern neighbor a $60 million grant (RFE/RL) for infrastructure repairs.
Iraq’s economy is fueled primarily from the export of one commodity: oil. The International Monetary Fund estimates oil production makes up roughly 90 percent of Iraq’s revenues ($31 billion in 2007), and was 60 percent (PDF) of the country’s gross domestic product in 2007. The United States, therefore, has focused heavily on restoring oil production to prewar levels—an estimated 2.5 million barrels a day. But sustaining that goal has proven problematic. In September 2004 rates of oil production peaked at 2.67 million barrels, yet power outages and sabotage reduced output to a paltry 1.2 million barrels by mid-August 2007. As a result the Iraqi government reduced its daily 2007 target to 2.1 million barrels. By October 2007 daily output had rebounded to 2.17 million barrels, according to the U.S. State Department. Citing Iraq's state oil-marketing agency, the Wall Street Journal reported in December 2007 that output had returned to prewar levels though it remained “unclear whether the gains can be maintained.” Further complicating oil outputs are contracts between the semiautonomous Kurdistan Regional Government and international petroleum companies. Despite protests from the central government in Baghdad, Kurdistan has signed fifteen oil exploration and export contacts since August 2007.
Progress on power generation, oil production, education, and other services is a relatively recent phenomenon. It is also tenuous, as this Backgrounder illustrates. Corruption, cost overruns, and security concerns continue to plague redevelopment efforts. A January 2008 analysis by the U.S. Government Accountability Office found the central government in Baghdad had spent just 4.4 percent of its $10.1 billion capital projects budget in 2007. The GAO concluded violence, sectarian strife, and poor Iraqi procurement procedures have left the majority of Iraqi reconstruction funds unspent (PDF). But perhaps the biggest remaining challenge lies with Iraq’s disheveled political landscape. U.S. agencies are looking to transfer many projects and service to Iraqi ministries and local governments. Yet political infighting and reconciliation challenges raise serious questions about project viability, experts say. Significant financial challenges also remain. The $45 billion pot of U.S. money is 75 percent obligated; more money is needed. Still, some experts say an improved security environment has increased the value of reconstruction funds, and might promote lasting stability. “Money is a weak carrot and a weak stick when people are shooting at each other,” Biddle says. “When they stop shooting at each other it becomes a lot stronger, potentially.”
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