-
The world continues to grow more violent and disorderly. According to CFR’s annual conflict risk assessment, American foreign policy experts are acutely concerned about conflict-related threats to U.S. national security and international stability that are likely to emerge or intensify in 2026. In this report, surveyed experts rate global conflicts by their likelihood and potential harm to U.S. interests and, for the first time, identify opportunities for preventive action.
-
Assumptions about how a potential conflict between the United States and China over Taiwan would unfold should urgently be revisited. Such a war, far from being insulated, would likely draw in additional powers, expand geographically, and escalate vertically.
-
The primary U.S. response to China’s first-mover advantages in emerging auto technologies has been protection. A smarter strategy would seek to compete by supporting producers and collaborating with allies, while managing security risks.
-
Mr. McGuire’s testimony to the House Foreign Affairs Committee argues that export controls related to semiconductor manufacturing equipment (SME) and advanced semiconductors are one of the most power…
-
Dr. Doshi’s remarks to the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee featured four key points: I. The Core Pillars of the U.S. One China Policy and Why Taiwan Matters U.S. policy on Taiwan has be…
-
To meet growing energy demands while averting climate change, the world must accelerate innovation. European nations are the leading contributors to global energy innovation, with Canada the only non-European country in the index’s top ten. The United States ranks thirteenth.
-
Strategic competition over the world’s next generation of foundational technologies is underway, and U.S. advantages in artificial intelligence, quantum, and biotechnology are increasingly contested. The United States must address vulnerabilities and mobilize the investment needed to prevail.
-
Since 2000, 115 governments have made formal commitments to increase women’s participation in mitigating and resolving conflict and reducing violence against women and girls. The U.S. government was the first to pass a law to codify its obligations in 2017. Support for the WPS Act has recently been called into question, despite a record of substantial achievement since its passage. Continued implementation of the law aligns with the current administration’s goals of ending wars and reducing violence, and U.S. leadership can galvanize increased international action on this front.
-
For the United States to address the global health risks posed by accelerating climate change, it will need to reframe climate adaptation as a pragmatic policy that can bridge partisan divides and earn the support of everyday Americans.
-
An approachable guide to the political, social, and demographic changes happening in Africa and why they matter for the rest of the world.
-
David J. Scheffer and Mark S. Ellis provide an introduction to the UN Charter and make the case that it is the most important secular document in the world.
-
The United States faces growing dangers of nuclear escalation, a new arms race, and proliferation. This report recommends an improved strategy for “optimal deterrence” and a path to rebuilding relationships with allies without allowing them to dictate U.S. force requirements.
Research & Analysis