Analysis Brief

Analytical briefs written by CFR.org's staff on issues of the day with links to the news, analysis, commentary, and primary source materials that put the facts in context.

Issue Guide: The World in 2011

The year 2011 was packed with unforeseen challenges for U.S. foreign policy. This guide lists a range of CFR materials on the year's most consequential developments and their implications, and expert forecasts on political and economic trends in 2012.

See more in United States, Middle East, Political Movements

The Debate over Aviation Emissions

Author: Toni Johnson

Will an EU plan requiring all airlines to join its carbon market starting in 2012 spark a trade war and prove financially harmful to a struggling airline industry?

See more in EU, Climate Change

Weighing a European Fiscal Compact

Author: Christopher Alessi

EU leaders are moving forward with a new fiscal compact, but doubts persist over the agreement's legality and its ability to stem the tide of eurozone sovereign debt contagion.

See more in EU, Financial Crises

How Russia Can Benefit from the WTO

Author: Christopher Alessi

Russia's pending membership in the World Trade Organization could alter its global economic standing and boost trading partners. But experts say Moscow must restructure its economy to benefit from joining the club.

See more in Russian Fed., Trade, WTO

A New Fiscal Union for Europe

Author: Christopher Alessi

At a Brussels summit, EU leaders agreed to develop a new fiscal union in an effort to preserve the indebted eurozone. Analysts say Britain's decision to opt out of the plan could dramatically reshape the path of European integration.

See more in EU, Financial Crises

Can Iran's Central Bank Be Sanctioned?

Author: Jayshree Bajoria

There is growing support in the U.S. Congress to sanction Iran's central bank in response to new nuclear revelations. Some experts say such a move could backfire and help the regime.

See more in Iran, Sanctions

Assessing Myanmar's Reforms

Author: Jayshree Bajoria

Secretary Clinton is in Myanmar to gauge recent reforms by the military-backed regime. Experts are calling for further democratization, including strengthening the rule of law and reconciliation with ethnic minority groups.

See more in Burma/Myanmar, Human Rights

Egypt's Uncertain Vote

Author: Toni Johnson

Egyptians began voting in parliamentary elections despite ongoing protests. But experts say the continuing strife over military rule and fears over Islamist parties threaten stability.

See more in Egypt, Elections

Author: Christopher Alessi

The international Occupy movement faces crackdowns in several cities, but continues to spur public discourse over economic inequality. But there is sharp debate over how to translate protest into policy changes.

See more in United States, Political Movements

How the U.S. Should Stay Relevant in Asia

Author: Jayshree Bajoria

President Obama will end his Asia tour at the East Asia Summit in Bali, reinforcing U.S. commitments to allies. But experts say Washington must fix the U.S. economy to retain any long-term leadership role in the region.

See more in United States, Asia, Geoeconomics

Italy and the Future of the Eurozone

Author: Christopher Alessi

New Prime Minister Mario Monti faces the daunting task of reining in Italy's high public debt. Analysts say he will have to tackle fiscal irresponsibility to rebuild market confidence and prevent the eurozone's third largest economy from defaulting.

See more in Italy, Financial Crises, EU