Articles

Academic articles by CFR fellows and experts.

No Way Out

Author: Steven A. Cook
The American Interest

As we approach the Turkish parliamentary elections, the relationship between President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu is coming under intense scrutiny, writes CFR’s Steven A. Cook. While many believe that Davutoglu can lead a faction of the ruling party to check the president, the reality is that it is impossible to outmaneuver Erdogan.

See more in Turkey; Presidents and Chiefs of State

How Iran Can Game the Deal

Author: Ray Takeyh
Politico Magazine

The numerous concessions to Iran in the framework agreement means that the Islamic Republic should be able to manufacture bombs on short notice after the sunset clause expires, writes CFR’s Ray Takeyh. Nevertheless, the Iran deal is not beyond repair and the United States needs to address the deficiencies of the accord in the coming months to close all remaining holes.

See more in Iran; United States; Diplomacy and Statecraft

America's Rebalance to the Asia-Pacific: On Track

Authors: Janine Davidson and Lauren Dickey
The Diplomat

Janine Davidson and Lauren Dickey, writing in the Diplomat Magazine, assess the military, diplomatic, and economic measures taken in accordance with the U.S. rebalance to the Asia-Pacific. While the rebalance has so far been a success, they argue that it must be embraced by the next U.S. president in order to become an enduring national policy.

See more in Asia and Pacific; Grand Strategy

The Charm of Minister Zarif

Author: Elliott Abrams
Weekly Standard

In article for The Weekly Standard, Elliott Abrams discusses the dangers that may result when diplomats become more concerned about their personal relationships with charming colleagues than about the nature of the regimes those colleagues (such as Iranian foreign minister Zarif) represent.

See more in Iran; United States; Diplomacy and Statecraft

Weekend Reader: 'Market Madness: A Century of Oil Panics, Crises, and Crashes'

Author: Blake Clayton
The National Memo

In Market Madness: A Century of Oil Panics, Crises, and Crashes, stock analyst Blake C. Clayton tempers the craze surrounding oil exhaustion through a combination of historical investigation and sober, persuasive analysis. His book is a lucid, credible riposte to apocalyptic ravings about “peak oil.” Clayton examines how such panics have persisted through the decades, all unfounded, yet devastating to the market. Market Madness enjoins consumers, policymakers, and brokers to abstain from hysteria and remain informed about what the future of energy truly holds.

See more in Global; Oil

Iran Becomes a 'Front Line' State

Author: Elliott Abrams
Weekly Standard

In an article for The Weekly Standard, Elliott Abrams discusses  Iran’s transformation into a "front line state" against Israel. This turn of events alarms Israelis and Arabs alike, but not nearly so much as another fact: that Iran's expansionism and military adventurism are being met with approval from the Obama administration.

See more in Iran; Israel; Conflict Assessment

How Obama Caved on Bahrain

Author: Elliott Abrams
Foreign Policy

Instability in Bahrain has grown in recent years as the Sunni royal family has repressed rather than accommodated the desire of the majority Shia population for a role in the political life of the country, but the White House reaction is silence. Elliott Abrams tells the story in a new article in Foreign Policy.

See more in Bahrain; United States; Human Rights

Emperor Erdogan

Author: Steven A. Cook
Politico Magazine

The increasing authoritarianism of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is transforming Turkey into an insular and regionally alienated country, says CFR’s Steven Cook. As Turkish relations with the Middle East, Europe, and the United States, Turkey risks becoming irrelevant and dangerous.

See more in Turkey; Presidents and Chiefs of State

The A Word:An Accomodationist Strategy for US-China Relations

Author: Micah Zenko
Australian National University, Strategic & Defence Studies Centre

Many predictions have been made that the United States and China will find themselves in competition or even direct conflict. Yet this is not preordained and both sides need to be careful not to talk themselves into a hostile relationship. In this bold new paper, Micah Zenko argues that by identifying clear ideas about acceptable conduct in the key domains (maritime, space, and cyber) the United States and China can avoid conflict without presuming away differences of interest or opinion.

See more in United States; China; Conflict Prevention