Various reports from CFR, posted at the discretion of CFR's president and director of studies.
Steven A. Tananbaum Senior Fellow for International Economics Robert Kahn writes that financial markets rallied following the U.S. election, on hopes that President-Elect Donald J. Trump’s fiscal stimulus and deregulation initiatives would spur corporate profits and growth. Perhaps so, but a strong case could be made for the opposite: that Trump’s economic agenda will prove disruptive to trade and growth, face growing headwinds in Congress, and exert a contractionary impact on the U.S. economy.
See more in Americas; Economics
Federally backstopped cyber insurance could be used to address a series of widely recognized and persistent cybersecurity problems.
See more in United States; Cybersecurity; Digital Infrastructure
Through improved education, strong executive leadership, and changes to procedure and doctrine, the civil-military dialogue can be mended in order to confront new challenges to national security.
See more in United States; Defense and Security; Presidents and Chiefs of State
Steven A. Tananbaum Senior Fellow for International Economics Robert Kahn argues that the Group of Twenty (G20) policymakers agree on the importance of stronger and more inclusive growth to address growing populism, but disagree on who—central banks, treasuries, or legislatures—should take the lead. This standoff all but guarantees that the global recovery will continue to disappoint.
See more in Global; Economics
The growing rivalry between Saudi Arabia and Iran will likely shape the Middle East for many years, and possibly even decades, to come
See more in Iran; Saudi Arabia; Regional Security; Radicalization and Extremism
A growing body of research suggests that standard peace and security processes routinely overlook a critical strategy that could reduce conflict and advance stability: the inclusion of women.
See more in Global; Peacekeeping; Women
Southern Thailand has faced a brutal insurgency since 2001. Today, there is a chance the insurgency will be infiltrated by ISIS, which has recruited over one thousand Southeast Asians.
See more in Thailand; Radicalization and Extremism; Ethnicity, Minorities, and National Identity
The traditional U.S. economic agenda in East Asia needs to be complemented with a push for the policies needed to bring East Asia’s savings down to a level that the region can more easily absorb internally.
See more in Asia and Pacific; Monetary Policy
Fuel subsidies often strain government budgets, fail to target poverty efficiently, distribute benefits unfairly, perpetuate corrupt regimes, and worsen climate change.
See more in Global; Energy Policy; Economics
Five authors examine the opportunities and risks presented by regional institutions across five issue areas: finance, trade, development lending, human rights, and peace operations.
See more in Global; Global Governance
The United States needs economic policies that prepare workers for the future and rebuild confidence that U.S. trade policies will benefit more Americans.
See more in United States; Trade
To reduce the risk of attack, the U.S. government should create incentives for individuals, companies, and governments to find and patch software vulnerabilities.
See more in United States; Cybersecurity; Internet Policy
Steven A. Tananbaum Senior Fellow for International Economics Robert Kahn argues that at the Group of Twenty (G20) Summit in Hangzhou, China, leaders called for governments to do more to support growth, but offered little in the way of new measures. Quietly, and away from the G20 spotlight, fiscal policy is becoming more expansionary, but current policies are unlikely to provide a meaningful boost to growth or soothe rising populist pressures.
See more in Global; Economics
U.S. officials should accommodate a larger role for emerging countries, particularly China, in the multilateral development bank system, but from a position of strength and with ambition for MDBs in U.S. policy.
See more in Global; Asia and Pacific; Global Governance; Banks and Banking
Steven A. Tananbaum Senior Fellow for International Economics Robert Kahn argues that markets have absorbed the initial economic shock from Brexit, but navigating the new landscape will remain a challenge. Two months after the vote, the politics of Brexit is producing a lengthy and uncertain renegotiation of Britain’s place in Europe and the world. Such extended uncertainty is likely to produce a long-lasting drag on both UK and European economies, which could ultimately threaten the viability of the European Union (EU).
See more in Europe; Economics
This study analyzes the current U.S. oil and gas tax preferences to evaluate whether or not they improve energy security, mitigate climate change, and save taxpayer dollars.
See more in United States; Energy Policy; Tax Policy
Steven A. Tananbaum Senior Fellow for International Economics Robert Kahn argues that summer has seemingly brought a new optimism about the Russian economy. Russia’s economic downturn is coming to an end, and markets have outperformed amidst global turbulence. But the coming recovery is likely to be tepid, constrained by deficits and poor structural policies, and sanctions will continue to bite. Brexit-related concerns are also likely to weigh on oil prices and demand. All this suggests that Russia’s economy will have a limited capacity to respond to future shocks.
See more in Russia and Central Asia; Economics
Matthew Page outlines how U.S. policymakers could deter official corruption in Nigerian sectors and institutions in which the United States invests significant resources.
See more in Nigeria; Corruption and Bribery; Foreign Aid
Increasing women's access to tech jobs in low- and middle-income countries can help solve labor shortages, empower women, and grow the economy, argue Catherine Powell and Ann Mei Chang.
See more in Africa (sub-Saharan); Asia and Pacific; Technology and Science; Women
CFR hosted a workshop to explore how globalized production patterns are evolving, the risks they face, and how companies and countries can improve compliance and resilience across supply chains through new trade standards, legal regimes, and policies.
See more in Global; China; Trade; Global Future Trends