Middle East

Foreign Affairs Article

The Black Swan of Cairo

Authors: Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Mark Blyth

The upheavals in the Middle East have much in common with the recent global financial crisis: both were plausible worst-case scenarios whose probability was dramatically underestimated.

See more in Middle East, Economics

Foreign Affairs Article

Enforcing the Peace

Author: Howard M. Sachar

The Israelis and the Palestinians will never find peace if they are left to negotiate on their own. As has been the case throughout history, great-power leadership is the missing ingredient. Washington must lead the way in enforcing a final-status settlement.

See more in Israel, Palestinian Authority