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Preventive Priorities Survey: 2017

The Center for Preventive Action's annual Preventive Priorities Survey (PPS) evaluates ongoing and potential conflicts based on their likelihood of occurring in the coming year and their impact on U.S. interests. The PPS aims to help the U.S. policymaking community prioritize competing conflict prevention and mitigation demands.

View the accompanying online interactive: CPA's Global Conflict Tracker

See more in Global; Conflict Prevention; Conflict Assessment

Article

Spotlight on Cyber VI: Respecting the Digital Rubicon: How the DoD Should Defend The U.S. Homeland

Author: Robert K. Knake
Georgetown Journal of International Affairs

Rob Knake argues that the DoD must coordinate its role with the civilian agencies responsible for domestic security, not replace them. Its job is to conduct operations in cyberspace to blunt threats to the United States when network defenses are overwhelmed, not to operate those defenses. To do so would take our military service across the Digital Rubicon.

See more in United States; Cybersecurity; Defense Technology

Event

Innovative Financing Mechanisms: Strategic Philanthropy and Impact Bonds

Speaker: John Fairhurst
Speaker: Debra Messing
Speaker: Kate Roberts
Presider: Rachel B. Vogelstein

The international development financing landscape is changing. Today, official development assistance now comprises only 2 percent of financing flows in the developing world. New approaches to financing are needed to address pressing development challenges, including persistent inequalities for women and girls. Drawing upon their respective experiences, Fairhurst, Roberts, and Messing discuss two promising financing mechanisms: strategic philanthropy and impact bonds.

See more in Global; Economics

Article

Globalization Resets

Author: Sebastian Mallaby
International Monetary Fund

International financial flows have declined significantly since 2008, and world trade is stagnating. Rather than portending a period of de-globalization, Sebastian Mallaby analyzes the data more closely to suggest a reset, not a reversal, of globalization.

See more in Global; Globalization; Economics

Op-Ed

Remembering America's Forgotten Wars

Author: Gayle Tzemach Lemmon
cnn.com

Gayle Tzemach Lemmon questions whether America’s post-9/11 wars in Afghanistan and Iraq will retake center stage with the potential appointment of a military leader to secretary of defense. According to Lemmon, “If confirmed, Mattis…would force Americans to confront these conflicts at a time when the United States has done a good job forgetting to feel like a country at war.”

See more in Afghanistan; Military Leadership; 9/11 Impact

Article

How Trump Can Avoid His Predecessors’ Iran Mistakes

Author: Ray Takeyh
Politico

There are important lessons for the incoming Trump administration on Iran they can learn from their predecessors, argues CFR’s Ray Takeyh. They should recognize that the Islamic Republic is a unitary nation-state purged of reformers, that it is susceptible to a threat of force, and that Iran is not interested in normalizing relations with the United States.

See more in Iran; Conflict Assessment

News Release

Niall Ferguson’s “Kissinger: 1923-1968: The Idealist” Wins 2016 CFR Arthur Ross Book Award

Historian Niall Ferguson has won the fifteenth annual Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) Arthur Ross Book Award for Kissinger: 1923-1968: The Idealist (Penguin Press), the first in a two-volume biography of the former national security advisor Henry A. Kissinger, and will receive $15,000. On December 14, CFR will honor Ferguson—a senior fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution and Harvard University’s Center for European Studies—and the other awardees at a cocktail reception hosted by Gideon Rose, editor of Foreign Affairs and chair of the independent award jury.

See more in Global; Society and Culture; Politics and Strategy

Op-Ed

David Petraeus Would Be a Great Secretary of State

Author: Max Boot
Foreign Policy

Max Boot argues that Petraeus would be a superbly qualified secretary of state—one who already has more diplomatic experience than most of those previously selected for this position. And far from giving a pro-war tilt to the new administration, Petraeus would be an important restraint on a president who has spoken far too freely of bombing various countries and of torturing terrorists.

See more in United States; Organization of Government; Diplomacy and Statecraft