“For Tokyo, this decision by Seoul and Washington [to move forward with the THAAD system] is as much about U.S. staying power as it is about Pyongyang’s missile launches. Just beyond the horizon, the influence of Beijing looms too large for Tokyo’s comfort,” writes CFR Senior Fellow Sheila Smith.
By far the biggest winner if NAFTA ends will be China, writes Shannon O’Neil. As for the losers, “are thousands of small and medium-sized American businesses, which are more likely to export to Mexico than anywhere else in the world.”
“[Vladimir] Putin’s aggression makes the possibility of a war in Europe between nuclear-armed adversaries frighteningly real,” writes Kimberly Marten in a new Council Special Report on tensions between Russia and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). She outlines how U.S. policymakers can deter Russian aggression with robust support for NATO, while reassuring Russia of NATO’s defensive intentions through clear words and actions based in international law.
Authors: Mark Dubowitz and Ray Takeyh Foreign Affairs
The Donald J. Trump administration would be correct to designate Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization, argues CFR’s Ray Takeyh with Mark Dubowitz. Terrorism has been a defining feature of the IRGC since its inception in 1979, and the power of the IRGC needs to be curbed before the Islamic Republic can be tamed.
Kimberly Marten outlines how U.S. policymakers can deter Russian aggression with robust support for NATO, while reassuring Russia of NATO’s defensive intentions through clear words and actions based in international law.
Western analysts and observers have missed Russia’s strategic restructuring in the Middle East, argues CFR’s Steven A. Cook. They have taken steps in Syria, Egypt, and Libya in a bid to upend an American-led regional order.
North Korean sanctions evasion has largely eviscerated the intent and impact of UN sanctions resolutions designed to block international financial and material support for North Korean nuclear and missile development efforts. Aside from the obvious Chinese loophole, the assassination of Kim Jong Nam has shone a bright light on another major portal for North Korean illicit actions and sanctions evasion: Malaysia.
From a White House largely defined by caprice, there’s been a consistent message that it’s time to get tough on China: to push back in the South China Sea, to challenge China’s unfair trade and investment practices, and to demand more from Beijing on North Korea.
Trump’s tendency to tell lies has not diminished even as he adopts a more presidential tone in his speeches and other communications. Carla Anne Robbins argues that citizens must remain vigilant and willing to point out his untruths.
Speaker: Janine Davidson Speaker: Michèle A. Flournoy Speaker: John M. Paxton Jr. Presider: Thom Shanker
Experts discuss the role of civil-military relations in the development of military advice; evaluate early changes to the national security system under President Trump; and consider possible reforms to the presidential decision-making process.
Learn more about CFR’s mission and its work over the past year in the 2016 Annual Report. The Annual Report spotlights new initiatives, high-profile events, and authoritative scholarship from CFR experts, and includes a message from CFR President Richard N. Haass. Read and download »