Greenberg Center for Geoeconomic Studies Publications Archive

Op-Ed

Why the Oil Price Drop Matters

Author: Michael A. Levi
World Economic Forum

After three years of unusual stability around $100 a barrel, oil prices fell steeply in the second half of 2014, dropping from $115 a barrel in June to around $60 by December. With oil critical to national economies, international security and climate change, what does the apparent new world of oil mean?

See more in Global; Oil

Book Market Madness

Market Madness

Author: Blake Clayton

CFR adjunct fellow Blake Clayton draws on a century's worth of statistical data to offer a revolutionary new look at volatility and crisis in oil markets. Clayton explores the conditions in which oil supply fears arise, gain popularity, and eventually wane, and demonstrates the significant effects these stories have on financial markets.

See more in Global; Financial Markets; Oil

Op-Ed

Obama Should Push to Give Workers a Stake

Author: Peter R. Orszag
Bloomberg View

Here's a good idea that I'd like to see prominent in President Barack Obama's State of the Union speech tonight: shared capitalism. That is, stock-ownership plans or simple profit-sharing schemes for corporate employees. These plans have been shown to effectively align workers' incentives with those of the company's equity owners, but they have not received much attention lately.

See more in United States; Presidents and Chiefs of State

Op-Ed

Match Workers to Jobs

Authors: Edward Alden and Robert Maxim
The Hill

The United States once had the world’s most efficient market for matching willing workers with available jobs. As recently as 2000, scarcely one-in-ten unemployed workers had been out of a job for more than six months, compared with more than half of unemployed workers in the major European nations.

See more in United States; Labor

Op-Ed

How the Fed Flubbed It

Author: Sebastian Mallaby
The Atlantic

CFR Senior Fellow Sebastian Mallaby reviews economic historian Barry Eichengreen's newest book Hall of Mirrors, which argues that history should have guided U.S. and European central bankers toward better decisions during the 2008 financial crisis.

See more in United States; Financial Crises

Op-Ed

A New Direction for Global Health

Authors: Mitchell E. Daniels Jr., Thomas E. Donilon, and Thomas J. Bollyky
Project Syndicate
Dramatic changes in urbanization, global trade, and consumer markets – which occurred over decades in wealthy countries – are happening at a faster rate, and at a much larger scale, in still-poor countries. These trends have brought substantial health benefits, but have given rise to significant challenges as well.

See more in Global; Health

Other Report Spillovers From Falling Oil Prices: Risks to Mexico and the United States

Spillovers From Falling Oil Prices: Risks to Mexico and the United States

Authors: Michael A. Levi, Alexandra Mahler-Haug, and Shannon K. O'Neil

U.S. policymakers who worry about the impact of energy developments on geopolitics typically think of high oil prices as bad news and low prices as an unalloyed good. But a sustained drop in oil prices can be dangerous as well. This paper investigates Mexican vulnerability to falling oil prices—and spillovers to the United States—to show how troublesome such a development might be.

See more in Mexico; Oil; Budget, Debt, and Deficits