Center for Preventive Action

Micah Zenko: Politics, Power, and Preventive Action

Recent Reports and Memoranda

Council Special Report No. 75 Securing a Democratic Future for Myanmar

Securing a Democratic Future for Myanmar

by Priscilla A. Clapp

To ensure the success of Myanmar's historic democratic transition, the United States should revise its outdated and counterproductive sanctions policy, according to Priscilla A. Clapp, former chief of mission at the U.S. Embassy in Myanmar.

Contingency Planning Memorandum No. 28 Renewed Confrontation in Georgia

Renewed Confrontation in Georgia

by David J. Kramer

With U.S.-Russia relations already at their lowest point since the end of the Cold War, renewed confrontation between Russia and Georgia would make matters considerably worse. David J. Kramer analyzes the likelihood of conflict between the two countries in the next twelve to eighteen months.

Contingency Planning Memorandum Growing Stress on Jordan

Growing Stress on Jordan

by Robert Satloff and David Schenker

Although the Hashemite Kingdom has vitiated its most potent tribal and Islamist domestic political opposition, the Muslim Brotherhood. But as the risk of domestic unrest has diminished, the potential for spillover from the Syrian conflict has grown, posing an increasing threat to Jordan.

Contingency Planning Memorandum No. 27 Armed Confrontation Between China and India

Armed Confrontation Between China and India

by Daniel S. Markey

Although China and India have repeatedly demonstrated a mutual desire to prevent conflict, the potential for their relationship to deteriorate is ever present. A border clash, conflict with Pakistan, maritime skirmish, or crisis over Tibet could raise tensions to the point of armed confrontation. Daniel S. Markey explains how the United States can promote peaceful relations between the world's two largest countries.

Contingency Planning Memorandum Crisis Over Ukraine

Crisis Over Ukraine

by Steven Pifer

As a 2009 Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) Contingency Planning Memorandum "Crisis Between Ukraine and Russia" argued, a major Ukraine-Russia confrontation has significant implications for the United States. Despite ongoing diplomatic efforts, few aspects of the Minsk II agreement have been implemented and heavy fighting could resume, precipitating an even deeper crisis between Russia and the West. 

Contingency Planning Memorandum Libya’s Escalating Civil War

Libya’s Escalating Civil War

by Daniel P. Serwer

The potential chaos highlighted by a 2011 Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) Contingency Planning Memorandum, "Post-Qaddafi Instability in Libya," has come to fruition. Daniel P. Serwer outlines the unfolding crisis and recommends steps the United States, Europe, and Arab countries can take to help mitigate the fallout.

About CPA

The CPA seeks to help prevent, defuse, or resolve deadly conflicts around the world and to expand the body of knowledge on conflict prevention.

Myanmar's New Government: The Challenges Ahead

What to Worry About in 2016 (NY)

What to Worry About in 2016 (DC)

Leadership

  • photo of Paul B. Stares Paul B. Stares General John W. Vessey Senior Fellow for Conflict Prevention and Director of the Center for Preventive Action
  • photo of Micah Zenko Micah Zenko Senior Fellow
  • photo of Reuben E. Brigety II Reuben E. Brigety II Adjunct Senior Fellow for African Peace and Security Issues

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Preventive Priorities Survey

Prevention Priorities Survey Map

  • A survey to help inform the U.S. policy community about the relative urgency and importance of competing conflict prevention demands.

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