Africa in Transition

Michelle Gavin, Ebenezer Obadare, and other experts track political and security developments across sub-Saharan Africa.

Latest Post

The map depicts deaths by state. Borno State, in Nigeria's North East, is the epicenter of Boko Haram-related violence, which has also spilled into neighboring Adamawa and Yobe states, among others.

Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: November 26-December 2

This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from November 26 to December 2, 2022.  Read More

Sub-Saharan Africa
Polio and Measles in Nigeria
Vaccination against polio and measles is opposed by many conservative Islamic elements in northern Nigeria. A consequence is that polio remains endemic; there were 122 cases in 2012, over half of the…
Sub-Saharan Africa
A Way Forward for Mali?
The Norwegian Peacebuilding Resource Centre (NOREF) has done Africa watchers and policy makers an important service by publishing David J. Francis’s analysis of the Mali crisis with his suggestions a…
Sub-Saharan Africa
French President’s Camel Eaten
You read this right. The British media, citing French sources, is having a field day with the report that the camel given to French president Francois Hollande during his February 2013 visit to Mali,…
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    All Aboard Nigeria Railways
    The restoration of railway services between Lagos and Kano, Nigeria’s two largest cities, is a highly positive development. This is a hopeful step toward restoring Nigeria’s entire, once nation-wide,…
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    Tracking the Traffickers: Poaching Is a Symptom of a Deeper Disease
    This is a guest post by Emily Mellgard, research associate for the Council on Foreign Relations Africa Studies program. Robert Hormats, U.S. undersecretary of state for economic growth, energy, and …
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    Boko Haram and Ansaru in Northern Nigeria
    Jacob Zenn, an analyst at the Jamestown Foundation, has written an important article, “Cooperation or Competition: Boko Haram and Ansaru After the Mali Intervention.” His central conclusion is that w…
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    Deepening Shadows over South African Troop Deployment in the Central African Republic
    South Africa’s International Relations Minister Maite Nkoana-Mashabane on April 4 announced that all South African troops in the Central African Republic (CAR) will be withdrawn because there is now …
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    Kenya Elections
    While violence broke out sporadically, post-election Kenya is far from the domestic Armageddon that followed the 2007 elections. Uhuru Kenyatta, under indictment by the International Criminal Court (…
  • Why Were South African Soldiers in the Central African Republic?
    A big surprise about the Central African Republic’s (CAR) latest coup is that it brought under scrutiny the purpose of South African troops in the country. At the time of the coup in Bangui on March …
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    Bloody Easter in Nigeria’s Middle Belt
    Over Easter weekend there were at least fifty deaths attributable to ethnic and religious conflict near Jos in Plateau state in Nigeria’s Middle Belt. This time, based on media reports, most of the v…