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Africa in Transition

Michelle Gavin, Ebenezer Obadare, and other experts track political and security developments across sub-Saharan Africa.

Latest Post

The map depicts deaths by state. Borno State, in Nigeria's North East, is the epicenter of Boko Haram-related violence, which has also spilled into neighboring Adamawa and Yobe states, among others.

Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: January 1–7

This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from January 1 to January 7, 2022. Read More

Sub-Saharan Africa
U.S. Government Never Predicted Nigeria Break Up in 2015
An “urban legend” widely believed in Nigeria is that the United States government predicts that the country will breakup in 2015. Tokunbo Adedoja in a May 15 article in ThisDay, a widely circulated d…
Sub-Saharan Africa
South Sudanese Return Home – with International Assistance
One of the major unresolved issues from South Sudan’s split from Khartoum has been the citizenship status of Sudanese of southern origin living in the north, and those of northern origin living in th…
Sub-Saharan Africa
South Africa’s Angst over De Klerk’s Apartheid Comments
Former South African president F.W. de Klerk’s May 10 CNN interview, in which he comments, inter alia, on apartheid and his relations with Nelson Mandela, has generated widespread outrage. De Klerk’s…
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    South Africa’s Unemployment Grows
    Statistics South Africa reports that the country’s unemployment rate rose to 25.2 percent during the first quarter of the year. That is up from 23.9 percent at the end of 2010 and 21.8 percent in 200…
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    Guest Post: ICT, Africa, and the 90/10 Rule
    Asch Harwood is the Africa program research associate at the Council on Foreign Relations. Last week, SAIS hosted a conference on information and communication technology (ICT) and political partic…
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    Swaziland: King Mswati Gets a Plane for Forty-fourth Birthday
    The Swazi prime minister has announced that a ’development partner’ has presented King Mswati III, forty-four, with a revamped MD-87 private jet as a ’birthday present.’ One South African newspaper, …
  • Nigeria
    Guest Post: West African Religion in the United States
    This is a guest post by Jim Sanders, a career, now retired, West Africa watcher for various federal agencies. The views expressed below are his personal views and do not reflect those of his former e…
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    U.S.-South Africa Cooperation
    Earlier this spring, the Stanley Foundation and the University of Pretoria jointly sponsored a dialogue on South Africa-United States cooperation. Sixteen participants (including myself) from South A…
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    Human Rights Watch Condemns Mali Rebel Atrocities
    Asch Harwood contributed to this post. Further to my post yesterday of continued military control of Mali’s south, Human Rights Watch has released a troubling report on atrocities committed by Tuare…
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    Mali: Military Still in Charge
    Former coup leader captain Amadou Haya Sanago announced on May 1 that his troops had suppressed a counter-coup by forces allegedly loyal to former president Amadou Toure. Sanago said his troops contr…