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Center for Preventive Action
Conflict Risk Assessment and Monitoring
Project Expert
General John W. Vessey Senior Fellow for Conflict Prevention and Director of the Center for Preventive Action
About the Project
To help focus U.S. conflict prevention and crisis preparedness efforts, the Center for Preventive Action conducts an annual survey of foreign policy experts to assess which potential contingencies in the coming year deserve more attention and resources than others. The results are released in the Preventive Priorities Survey which ranks thirty plausible contingencies in order of their likelihood and potential impact. CPA also provides background information and up-to-date analysis of contingencies worldwide on its online interactive, the Global Conflict Tracker.
This project is made possible by the generous support of Carnegie Corporation of New York.
Events
Terrorism and Counterterrorism
Panelists discuss potential and ongoing crises that may erupt or escalate in 2024, as well as their global political implications. This event will explore the results of CFR’s 2024 Preventive Priorities Survey.
Panelists discuss potential and ongoing crises that may erupt or escalate in 2020, as well as their global political implications. This event explores the results of the 2020 Preventive Priorities Survey, which is available on cfr.org/report/conflicts-watch-2020.
Panelists discuss potential and ongoing crises that may erupt or escalate in 2019, as well as their global political implications, and explore the results of the 2019 Preventive Priorities Survey, conducted by CFR’s Center for Preventive Action.
Panelists discuss the potential and ongoing crises that may erupt or escalate in 2018, as well as their global political implications.
Experts discuss the global political implications of potential and ongoing crises that may erupt or escalate in 2017.
Three leading conflict experts discussed potential and ongoing crises that may erupt or escalate in 2016, as well as their global political and economic implications.
Three leading conflict experts discussed potential and ongoing crises that may erupt or escalate in 2016, as well as their global political and economic implications.
In keeping with the core mission of the Center for Preventive Action, this meeting evaluated the most worrisome sources of instability and conflict in 2015. The speakers discussed their respective or…
In keeping with the core mission of the Center for Preventive Action, this meeting evaluates the most worrisome sources of instability and conflict in 2014.
David F. Gordon, Mark L. Schneider, and Paul B. Stares discuss their respective organization's assessments of the risks and the most worrisome sources of instability and conflict in 2012.
Paul B. Stares, David F. Gordon, and Mark L. Schneider discuss conflicts that could break out or escalate in 2013.
Blogs
Today, we at the Center for Preventive Action released our Preventive Priorities Survey (PPS) for 2015. This is the seventh in our annual effort to harness crowd wisdom and foreign policy expertise i…
This post originally appeared on the Atlantic online.
President Obama has repeatedly pledge to do “nation-building at home” during his second-term. However, it is likely that unanticipated world …
2012 Preventive Priorities Map.
Last Thursday, the Center for Preventive Action team published our fifth annual Preventive Priorities Survey (PPS): a list of thirty contingencies r…
A protester holds a tear gas canister, initially thrown by riot police near Tahrir Square in Cairo, Egypt on November 22, 2011 (Courtesy Reuters/Amr Dalsh).
This post originally app…
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For CFR’s annual Preventive Priorities Survey, U.S. foreign policy experts assessed the likelihood and impact of thirty potential conflicts that could emerge or escalate in 2024.
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In CFR’s annual Preventive Priorities Survey, U.S. foreign policy experts assess the likelihood and impact of thirty potential conflicts that could emerge or escalate in the coming year.
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In CFR’s annual Preventive Priorities Survey, U.S. foreign policy experts assess the likelihood and impact of thirty potential conflicts that could emerge or escalate in the coming year.
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In CFR’s annual Preventive Priorities Survey, U.S. foreign policy experts assess the likelihood and impact of thirty potential conflicts that could emerge or escalate in the coming year.
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U.S. foreign policy experts assess the likelihood and impact of thirty potential crises or conflicts around the world in the coming year in CFR’s annual survey.
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U.S. foreign policy experts assess the likelihood and impact of thirty potential crises or conflicts around the world in the coming year in CFR's annual survey.
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A serious military confrontation between Russia and a North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) member state or a severe crisis in North Korea are among top international concerns for 2017 cited by a…
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View the accompanying online interactive: CPA's Global Conflict Tracker. Preventing further intensification of Syria's civil war should be the top priority for U.S. policymakers in 2016, according…
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The intensification of the crisis in Iraq due to advances by the militant group the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) is the top conflict prevention priority for U.S. policymakers in 2015, according to leading experts who took part in the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) seventh annual Preventive Priorities Survey.
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View the accompanying online interactive: CPA's Global Conflict Tracker The intensification of the crisis in Iraq due to advances by the militant group the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) i…
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Spillover from Syria’s civil war and violence in Afghanistan as coalition forces draw down are among next year’s top conflict prevention priorities for U.S. policymakers, finds the annual Preventive Priorities Survey from the Council on Foreign Relations. The most urgent concerns also include terror attacks or cyberattacks on the United States, military strikes against Iran, and a crisis in North Korea.
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View the accompanying online interactive: CPA's Global Conflict Tracker Spillover from Syria's civil war and violence in Afghanistan as coalition forces draw down are among next year's top conflic…
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The Council on Foreign Relations’ fifth annual Preventive Priorities Survey ranks conflict prevention priorities based on their potential impact on U.S. interests and their likelihood of occurring in the coming year.
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CFR’s Center for Preventive Action has released the fourth annual Preventive Priorities Survey ranking the most plausible conflicts on which the U.S. government should focus in the year ahead.
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The Preventive Priorities Survey (PPS) is intended to help inform the U.S. policy community about the relative urgency and importance of competing conflict prevention demands. The Center for Preventi…
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The United States has a poor record at both anticipating foreign crises and planning for them. To improve U.S. readiness for crises that are both plausible in the short- to medium-term and likely to…
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Increasing geopolitical friction between the United States and other major powers—including China, the European Union, India, and Russia—not only increases the risk of major war but also lessens the …