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December 11, 2004

United States
Data releases next week

I am going to be away from my desk next week, and don’t expect to be posting much -- at least not until next Friday. I’ll miss three key data releases:The October trade data on Tuesday.The October T…

December 11, 2004

United States
The Global Test

My harping on the fact that US economic policy now has to pass a global test is not simply meant to score rhetorical points. I suspect that the same folks who financed the expansion of the US curren…

December 18, 2004

The October trade data was really bad …

I missed the actual release, but it is worth noting that the "guts" of the October trade data are rather discouraging. Forget the headline number: we knew it would be bad because of oil. Look at wh…

December 19, 2004

Plaza, or Louvre?

The 1985 Plaza accord sought to drive the dollar down; the 1987 Louvre sought to keep the dollar from falling further. There is growing talk of a new Plaza in the US -- though not in the circles tha…

December 24, 2004

Financial Markets
Euro continues to soar, renminbi hits new lows …

If anyone thinks that what the world really needs right now is a weaker Chinese renminbi, do let me know. Yet that is exactly what the markets have delivered this week ... It seems pretty clear that…