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January 8, 2006

Monetary Policy
Sit back and watch Asia’s reserves grow.

Not because Taiwan is reportedly intervening once again last week.   But because Asia holds lots of euros and yen.    The euro rose 2.4% against the dollar last week, the yen by 2.8%.  And Asia holds…

November 8, 2005

Europe
More flexible labor markets, less business investment?

Apologies for being one day late discussing a Peaple/ Teitelbaum article in Monday's Wall Street Journal called "UK business investment lags."  My title is intentionally a bit overstated, but I w…

February 13, 2006

Monetary Policy
It is back. Bretton Woods 2 (central bank financing of the US)

Some would say it never really went away.Emerging market economies did not stop accumulating reserves in 2005.  Best I can tell, adjusting for valuation effects and including all the foreign assets o…

February 22, 2006

Capital Flows
The (strange) politics of globalization

Maybe the US would be better off if China owned Unocal's Asian oil fields Not economically.  Unocal's oil and gas fields are presumably worth a bit more now than they were last summer.  But s…

January 24, 2006

United States
Robert Rubin still worries about the risk of a hard landing …

From Rubin's Wall Street Journal oped: The effects of these fiscal conditions are exacerbated because they occur, uniquely in the U.S. amongst the developed nations, in combination with a very lo…

February 22, 2006

United States
Shrinking dark matter watch

Or maybe shifting dark matter watch. Via Barry Ritholtz comes news that increasing US investment (according to Mandel) in one key intangible asset - US brands - may be yielding diminishing returns.  …

February 28, 2006

China
Read Richard McGregor’s FT article on China

I follow the data coming out of China pretty closely, at least for someone whose linguistic limitations crimp any long-term ambitions to be a professional China Watcher.     Not every article on Chin…

January 26, 2006

China
The intent is good …

The Governor of the China's Central Bank said pretty much all the right things at Davos - at least from my point of view.    China does need to base its growth far more on domestic consumption.  …

January 9, 2006

United States
Martin Feldstein joins the dollar doomsday cult

Stephen Kirchner take note.  Alan Greenspan, too.  Dr. Feldstein thinks central banks -- and oil sheiks -- are behind a lot of private flows into the US.  And he doesn't seem convinced that this …

March 18, 2006

United States
What Geithner said. And then some

Most of the blogosphere has already weighed in on Tim Geithner's most recent speech.   I am a bit late to the party.   And I may not have much to add. I deeply agree with Geithner's argument…