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June 22, 2018

Yemen
An Emirati soldier escorts Yemen's prime minister in the port city of Mukha. How the UAE Wields Power in Yemen

The Gulf nation’s ground troops have cultivated alliances in Yemen with local armed groups, but its ability to shape the civil war’s outcome is limited.

July 30, 2018

Mexico
Mexico's President-elect Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador holds a news conference to announce Marcelo Ebrard as foreign minister, in Mexico City, Mexico July 5, 2018. The Coming U.S.-Mexico Blow-Up

On the eve of Mexico’s election, even before the National Electoral Institute called the results, President Donald Trump tweeted congratulations to the presumptive victor Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador…

July 23, 2018

Trade
International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Christine Lagarde and Argentina's Treasury Minister Nicolas Dujovne attend a news conference in Buenos Aires, Argentina, July 21, 2018. Latin America Looks Past the U.S. on Trade

This weekend a beleaguered Argentina hosted the G-20 finance ministers to work out the agenda for their leaders’ December conclave in Buenos Aires. While officially focused on infrastructure and the …

July 9, 2018

Mexico
Central American migrants disembark from a freight train as they walk on a railway track after stopping the train on a rail line, in Irapuato, Guanajuato state, Mexico April 15, 2018. Mexico’s Next Crisis Will Arrive From the South

Central American migration may prove the new administration’s biggest first challenge. Since 2014, hundreds of thousands of Central American men, women, and children, mostly from Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador, have fled their homes. Driven by violence, extortion, poverty, and a drought that has decimated subsistence farming, and pulled by family connections and the hope of safe haven, they mostly head north.

July 2, 2018

Mexico
Presidential candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador gestures as he addresses supporters after polls closed in the presidential election, in Mexico City, Mexico July 2, 2018. López Obrador and the Future of Mexican Democracy

Yesterday, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, best known by his initials, AMLO, won Mexico’s presidential election decisively. After 18 years on the campaign trail, including two previous failed presidential runs, thousands of rallies, and, by his count, a visit to every one of Mexico’s 2,400 municipalities, the Tabasco-born politician received the support of 53 percent of voters at the polls, according to an offical rapid count by electoral authorities. Meanwhile, the National Regeneration Movement (MORENA), López Obrador’s four-year-old political party, gained a majority in congress, and a majority of the nine governorships up for grabs.

June 14, 2018

Argentina
People walk past a grafitti that reads "IMF (International Monetary Fund), never again" during a demonstration to demand jobs and social benefits in Buenos Aires, Argentina, June 1, 2018. Argentina’s IMF Package Could Trigger Ugly Blowback

Markets welcomed the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) $50 billion rescue stabilization package last week, which seems to be stabilizing the peso. But the financial umbrella will be costly. Rightly or wrongly, Argentines blame the IMF for precipitating their country's worst economic crisis. In the eyes of many voters, the mere association will damage President Mauricio Macri’s standing.

August 24, 2017

Venezuela
NAFTA agreement has helped produce over 1.8 million new jobs for Canadians (this is the first 5 years of NAFTAs existence Shannon O'Neil on Bloomberg Surveillance

Last Thursday, I had the pleasure of joining David Gura and Francine Lacqua on Bloomberg Surveillance to discuss Venezuela and Mexico. You can watch the full show here, with the Venezuela portion fro…

June 4, 2018

Trade
Trucks wait in the queue for border customs control to cross into U.S. at the World Trade Bridge in Nuevo Laredo, Mexico April 5, 2018. Mexico Knows How to Fight a Trade War

Mexico's retaliatory tariffs (on some types of steel, lamps, cheese, pork, apples, grapes, and cranberries) will swat at Trump’s political base.

June 27, 2018

Mexico
Alan Ortega/Reuters Is Political Change Coming to Mexico?

Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador will likely become Mexico’s next president at a time of mounting concern over corruption and violence, but his reform plans are hazy.

May 23, 2018

Brazil
Workers assemble riding toys of Brazilian toymaker Estrela at a factory in Hernandarias, Paraguay February 7, 2017. Latin America Needs More Home-Grown Supply Chains

Latin American nations remain isolated, trading little with each other. Regional economic integration is vital to compete globally and grow faster domestically. In order to do this, they must create cross-border supply chains and move up in the value chain.