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April 19, 2006

United States
You can not put dark matter in a container …

So says Michael Mandel.   Some of us might say you can't put dark matter in a container because it doesn't really exist.That is not Mandel's argument.  He believes in dark matter, though …

October 10, 2005

Economics
Kate-Moss-thin credit spreads

I never thought I would ever share space in an article with Kate Moss.   We do not exactly move in the same circles.  But William Pesek somehow found a connection - or a least a vivid metaphor. …

December 11, 2006

Financial Markets
The GCC’s dollar peg …

China will have a current account surplus of over $200b this year.  China has about 1.3 billion people.   The GCC countries (Saudi Arabia and the small states on the Gulf) will also have a current ac…

July 14, 2006

United States
Far be it from me to disagree with Robert Rubin

One thing I never thought I would see: William Greider  (no fan of Citibank Democrats) interviewing Robert Rubin.    The end result is well worth reading.  Rubin doesn’t seem to be in Steve Roach’s…

December 14, 2006

China
Paulson in Beijing: Can’t get no satisfaction

That is what William Hess argues in Newsweek International.  China cannot give Paulson what he wants without jeopardizing its domestic goals.  Hess writes:"Secretary Paulson will likely return home e…

October 23, 2005

Economics
Another blogging Brad?

I never realized there were so many "Brad's" (leaving aside the famous one from Missouri now linked to Ms. Jolie) til I started doing this ... DeLong.  Plumer.  And now Brad Humphries over at the…

April 19, 2007

United States
The IMF’s forecast for the global current account

The IMF – as the FT, Stephen Roach and William Pesek have all noted -- has decided to stop worrying about what might go wrong in the global economy and start celebrating all that is going right.   Sl…

weo_global_c_account_07_small

May 29, 2007

United States
The PBoC - and the Economist - argue that exchange rates don’t matter, but look at this graph …

China's Vice-Premier Wu Yi, the Economist, Stephen Roach,  William Pesek and no doubt a host of others all have argued that the US trade deficit with China has nothing to do with the RMB/ dollar…

us_trade_deficit_changes_since_02

August 3, 2007

China
What RMB appreciation?

There is a tendency to equate the RMB/ dollar with the RMB.   That most often shows up in tendency to equate an appreciation of the RMB against the dollar with an appreciation of the RMB.   That is a…

cny_v_g3_basket

February 28, 2008

Emerging Markets
$1 trillion, $100, $1.50

A lot of milestones have been passed in the last few days. Most aren’t positive for the United States. Nouriel Roubini is no longer the only economist putting the eventual toll of the financial crisi…