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October 31, 2016

Conflict Prevention
dkc Understanding Atrocities: A Conversation with Dara Kay Cohen

I spoke with Dara Kay Cohen, assistant professor of public policy at Harvard Kennedy School, about her book, Rape During Civil War. To better understand this underexamined wartime atrocity, Dara buil…

October 31, 2016

Wars and Conflict
Podcast rape during civil war Understanding Atrocities: A Conversation with Dara Kay Cohen

I spoke with Dara Kay Cohen, assistant professor of public policy at Harvard Kennedy School, about her book, Rape During Civil War. To better understand this underexamined wartime atrocity, Dara buil…

February 22, 2018

Puerto Rico
Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Positive Growth Shock for Puerto Rico? Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Positive Growth Shock for Puerto Rico?

Puerto Rico’s latest fiscal plan appears to use a best case scenario as its base case. It consequently doesn’t provide a realistic benchmark for evaluating Puerto Rico’s long-run capacity to pay.

February 21, 2018

Asia
Trump_Vietnam_11.12.2017 The Trump Administration’s “Free and Open Indo-Pacific”: A Solid Idea, but Difficult to Pull Off

After declaring the “rebalance” to Asia dead, the Trump administration’s “Free and Open Indo-Pacific” strategy appears to be pursing similar goals: containing China’s ability to dominate Asia and bol…

February 16, 2018

United States
Mapping Capital Flows Into the U.S. Over the Last Thirty Years Mapping Capital Flows Into the U.S. Over the Last Thirty Years

Up until 2014, the growth in central bank dollar reserves closely mapped to the increase in U.S. net external debt. The past few years have been different: for the first time in a long time, yield-st…

February 15, 2018

United States
Trump’s Tax Success Is at the Expense of His Trade Agenda Trump’s Tax Success Is at the Expense of His Trade Agenda

It looks like a combination of tax cuts and spending increases will raise the U.S. fiscal deficit by about 2 percentage points of GDP (that’s the number Krugman used; Goldman’s US economics team puts…

February 13, 2018

United States
FA MA 2018 Cover Walking Away From World Order: Weighing Trump’s First Year of Foreign Policy

“Nobody really knew what to expect when Donald Trump became U.S. president. Would he disrupt the status quo or maintain it? Blow himself up or escape unscathed? One year in, the answer is yes,” write…

February 12, 2018

China
The Belt and Road Initiative Didn't Quite Live up to its Hype in 2017 The Belt and Road Initiative Didn't Quite Live up to its Hype in 2017

China's balance of payments data doesn't show any material increase in the pace of offshore lending.

February 8, 2018

China
China-North-Korea-Cover.jpg The China–North Korea Relationship

China is North Korea’s biggest trade partner and has leverage over Kim Jong-un’s regime, yet its policies focus more on border stability than nuclear threat.

February 7, 2018

Kenya
Kenya-Crackdown-Kenyatta-Odinga-Inauguration-Election Kenya Enters Dangerous Territory

The Kenyatta administration has transformed an act in Odinga’s political theater into a challenge to the legitimacy of the Kenyatta administration.