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August 6, 2011

United States
U.S. Treasuries Lose ’Risk-Free’ Luster

U.S. lawmakers’ brinkmanship over raising the debt ceiling could have prompted a series of moves--the downgrading of U.S. debt by Standard and Poor’s being one--that could cause a selloff of U.S. sec…

April 12, 2011

Capital Flows
Doubts About Capital Controls

Overview China's policy of holding down the value of its currency and monetary easing in the United States have led to large capital inflows into emerging economies, raising fears of currency appr…

September 28, 2010

Monetary Policy
Two Myths About the U.S. Dollar

Overview In this Center for Geoeconomic Studies Capital Flows Quarterly, the second in the series, Francis E. Warnock investigates two factors that could substantially alter the long-run value of …

June 9, 2010

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
How Dangerous Is U.S. Government Debt?

Overview The dollar's status as the world's reserve currency has become a facet of U.S. power, allowing the United States to borrow effortlessly and sustain an assertive foreign policy. But the ca…

December 4, 2017

Southeast Asia
Pope Francis_Aung San Suu Kyi_11.28.2017 Reflecting on Pope Francis’s Trip to Myanmar and Bangladesh

There was no way that Pope Francis’s trip to Myanmar and Bangladesh last week was going to be uneventful. The trip came in the midst of a massive spasm of violence in western Myanmar’s Rakhine State—…

November 27, 2017

Southeast Asia
Pope Francis visit_11.27.2017 Questions for Pope Francis’s Trip to Myanmar This Week

In an earlier post today, I noted that there remain many questions about the memorandum of understanding that Dhaka and Naypyidaw have supposedly negotiated, allowing at least some Rohingya to return…

April 20, 2018

Myanmar
A group of Rohingya refugees after crossing the Bangladesh-Myanmar border, September 1, 2017. The Rohingya Crisis

Hundreds of thousands of Rohingya, a Muslim ethnic minority group, are fleeing persecution in Myanmar’s western Rakhine State, fueling a historic migration crisis.

October 2, 2017

Myanmar
A Myanmar soldier stands near a township in Rakhine State, September 27, 2017. How Myanmar’s Military Wields Power From the Shadows

Despite Myanmar’s recent transition to civilian leadership, the military has retained significant power and is most to blame for the sectarian violence against the Rohingya.

March 9, 2018

China
Chinese Catholics attend an Ash Wednesday mass at a state-sanctioned church in Beijing. Christianity in China

Tens of millions of Chinese now identify as Christians and the number has grown rapidly, posing challenges for a government that is officially atheist and wary of threats to its power.

January 17, 2018

China
A Few Words on China’s Holdings of U.S. Bonds A Few Words on China’s Holdings of U.S. Bonds

A primer on China reserve watching.