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August 7, 2013

United States
GDP and Economic Policy

Economists who want to compare the living standards of countries often use GDP, but the calculation and usefulness of the measurement remains controversial.

GDP

April 4, 2017

North Korea
How Trump Can Get Xi to Say "Yes" on North Korea

President Trump has sent a stern warning to Xi Jinping that if China does not help us with North Korea, it will be bad for China and the U.S. will act on its own. Although sounding tough, the Preside…

How Trump Can Get Xi to Say "Yes" on North Korea

June 30, 2017

South China Sea
The False Choice of War or Accommodation in the South China Sea

I appreciate Hugh White taking the time to critique my essay in the current edition of Foreign Affairs, which recommends a course correction in US strategy to deter and, if necessary, deny Chinese co…

The U.S. Navy Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Wayne E. Meyer sails alongside South Korean multirole guided-missile destroyer Wang Geon during a bilateral exercise in the western Pacific Ocean. April 25, 2017.

October 24, 2017

China
Empowering China’s New Miracle Workers

China’s success in the next five years will depend largely on how well the government manages the tensions underlying its complex agenda. In particular, China’s leaders will need to balance a muscula…

China's President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Keqiang

November 28, 2017

Economics
The Global Economy in 2018

The global economy will confront serious challenges in the months and years ahead, and looming in the background is a mountain of debt that makes markets nervous—and that thus increases the system's vulnerability to destabilizing shocks. Yet the baseline scenario seems to be one of continuity, with no obvious convulsions on the horizon.

G20-Leaders-Summit-Germany-World-Economy