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January 22, 2024

Trade
The Curse of Nostalgia: Industrial Policy in the United States

A critical look at the past and present of industrial policy shows that its recent popularity is not only misguided, but is likely to have negative economic and geopolitical consequences for the Unit…

President Joe Biden signs the Inflation Reduction Act in the State Dining Room of the White House in Washington on August 16, 2022.

November 3, 2014

Europe and Eurasia
The ECB Fails to Stress Banks Over the One Critical Variable It Controls: Inflation

Relentlessly falling inflation is bad news for Eurozone banks.  It increases the real (inflation-adjusted) value of borrower debt and the real cost of servicing that debt.  It causes loan defaults…

The ECB Fails to Stress Banks Over the One Critical Variable It Controls: Inflation

September 20, 2012

Monetary Policy
Is Bernanke Right on QE3 and the Mortgage Market?

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke defended QE3 at his September 13 press conference by arguing that it would lower mortgage rates and increase home prices.  Over 80% of U.S. household debt is mortgage deb…

Is Bernanke Right on QE3 and the Mortgage Market?

July 8, 2009

Europe and Eurasia
Unemployment

Until the economic crisis, many praised the U.S. model of flexible labor markets for promoting faster growth and low unemployment. But flexibility has a cost: the United States is leading the G7 in…

200976flexibleandfired20

December 9, 2009

Europe and Eurasia
Eurozone Sovereign Risk

Fitch Ratings downgrade of Greek government debt has raised concerns about sovereign default risk. Within the Eurozone these concerns are particularly relevant because countries cannot print money …

2009.12.9.EuroDeficits