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February 16, 2018

Asia
Berlusconi_1.11.2018 Populism May Have a Banner Year in 2018—and 2019 Too

By the middle of 2017, following Emmanuel Macron’s dominant victory in France’s elections, the relative underperformance of populist parties in elections in the Netherlands, and the backlash in the U…

December 21, 2017

South Africa
South-Africa-Election-Ramaphosa-African-National-Congress Split in South Africa’s National Congress May Not Last

The African National Congress' National Executive Committee leadership appears to be split down the middle, with the Top Six equally divided between the the Ramaphosa and the Zuma/Dlamini-Zuma factions.

October 30, 2017

China
Former Chinese president Hu Jintao, Chinese President Xi Jinping and former Chinese president Jiang Zemin raise their hands as they take a vote at the closing session of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, in Beijing, China. The Four Traps China May Fall Into

One dominant theme of President Xi Jinping’s political report at the 19th Party Congress is China’s national rejuvenation. China was described as a “great power” or a “strong power” 26 times in his s…

August 28, 2017

Terrorism and Counterterrorism
Boko-Haram-Chibok-Girls-Nigeria Boko Haram Factions May Seek State Cooperation

According to conventional wisdom, the insurrection based in northeastern Nigeria and the Cameroon known as Boko Haram comprises at least three large factions, and there may well be more. One, perhaps…

February 16, 2018

Cybersecurity
Maersk Cyber Week in Review: February 16, 2018

This week: accusing Russia over NotPetya, cyber threats to the United States, gTLDs, and more on the Equifax breach. 

February 16, 2018

North Korea
KCNA Avoiding War With North Korea

The U.S. military is prepared for a number of contingencies with regard to North Korea, but the best path forward is diplomacy aimed at denuclearization.

February 16, 2018

Liberia
Africa-Johnson-Sirleaf-Mo-Ibrahim-Prize-Liberia Liberia’s Johnson-Sirleaf Awarded the Mo Ibrahim Prize for African Leadership

The foundation’s prize committee stated that Sirleaf had shown exceptional leadership, and noted that Liberia was the only African country out of fifty-four to improve in every category of its Index of African Governance.

February 15, 2018

United States
Trump’s Tax Success Is at the Expense of His Trade Agenda Trump’s Tax Success Is at the Expense of His Trade Agenda

It looks like a combination of tax cuts and spending increases will raise the U.S. fiscal deficit by about 2 percentage points of GDP (that’s the number Krugman used; Goldman’s US economics team puts…

February 15, 2018

China
U.S. President Donald Trump takes part in a welcoming ceremony with China's President Xi Jinping in Beijing, China, November 9, 2017. U.S. Policy Toward China: Dumping the Baby, the Bathwater, and the Tub

According to a recent Foreign Affairs article, U.S. policy toward China has failed. Two senior Asia officials who served in the Obama administration, my good friends Kurt Campbell and Ely Ratner (who…

February 14, 2018

South Africa
South-Africa-Zuma-No-Confidence The Painful Exit of South Africa’s Jacob Zuma

Zuma is not out yet, but he will be by February 15. Today, Speaker of Parliament Baleka Mbete moved the motion of no confidence originally scheduled for February 22 to Thursday, February 15.