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March 7, 2017

Sub-Saharan Africa
KDF Garissa U.S. Arms Sales to Kenya

The United States and Kenya have a long standing military relationship. They are allies in the “war on terror,” of which Kenya has been a major victim. Notable attacks on Kenyan soil include the 1998…

February 22, 2018

Puerto Rico
Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Positive Growth Shock for Puerto Rico? Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Positive Growth Shock for Puerto Rico?

Puerto Rico’s latest fiscal plan appears to use a best case scenario as its base case. It consequently doesn’t provide a realistic benchmark for evaluating Puerto Rico’s long-run capacity to pay.

February 16, 2018

United States
Mapping Capital Flows Into the U.S. Over the Last Thirty Years Mapping Capital Flows Into the U.S. Over the Last Thirty Years

Up until 2014, the growth in central bank dollar reserves closely mapped to the increase in U.S. net external debt. The past few years have been different: for the first time in a long time, yield-st…

February 8, 2018

China
China-North-Korea-Cover.jpg The China–North Korea Relationship

China is North Korea’s biggest trade partner and has leverage over Kim Jong-un’s regime, yet its policies focus more on border stability than nuclear threat.

February 2, 2018

Monetary Policy
Federal Reserve The Role of the U.S. Federal Reserve

The role of the Federal Reserve has transformed in the past decade, as it has deployed trillions of dollars to boost the U.S. economy while expanding its regulatory oversight of the nation’s financia…

January 26, 2018

Indonesia
Mattis-Indonesia-1.22.2018 Secretary of Defense Mattis’s Trip to Southeast Asia: A Few Thoughts

Secretary of Defense Jim Mattis traveled to Southeast Asia this past week, and during his first stop in Indonesia signaled a desire to improve strategic aspects of the U.S.-Indonesia relationship inc…

January 19, 2018

Russia
Reuters Containing Russia, Again: An Adversary Attacked the United States—It’s Time to Respond

The United States must respond to Russia's interference in the 2016 elections by pursuing a strategy of containment. Without a comprehensive response, Russia's meddling will continue.

January 16, 2018

Southeast Asia
Prayuth cutout_1.9.2018 Southeast Asia’s Press Freedoms Collapse: 2018 Could Be Worse for Southeast Asian Democracy Than 2017

As I noted late last year, 2017 was a disastrous year for democracy in Southeast Asia. Democratic rights and freedoms already have been in decline in Southeast Asia for more than a decade, but 2017 w…

January 16, 2018

Renewable Energy
Wind turbines stand above the plains north of Amarillo, Texas, U.S., March 14, 2017. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson Clean Energy Might Reduce Global Warming, But What Will It Do to Geopolitics?

This post is co-written by Sagatom Saha, Fulbright Fellow in Ukraine and Visiting Fellow at the Dixi Group. Read Varun Sivaram and Sagatom Saha’s new book chapter, “The Geopolitical Implications of a…

January 11, 2018

Brazil
A Petrobras refinery in Cubatao, Brazil. Brazil’s Corruption Fallout

Federal investigators in Brazil have uncovered corruption at the highest levels of the government and in the country’s largest corporations.