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July 2, 2018

Mexico
López Obrador and the Future of Mexican Democracy

Yesterday, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, best known by his initials, AMLO, won Mexico’s presidential election decisively. After 18 years on the campaign trail, including two previous failed presidential runs, thousands of rallies, and, by his count, a visit to every one of Mexico’s 2,400 municipalities, the Tabasco-born politician received the support of 53 percent of voters at the polls, according to an offical rapid count by electoral authorities. Meanwhile, the National Regeneration Movement (MORENA), López Obrador’s four-year-old political party, gained a majority in congress, and a majority of the nine governorships up for grabs.

Presidential candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador gestures as he addresses supporters after polls closed in the presidential election, in Mexico City, Mexico July 2, 2018.

June 14, 2018

Argentina
Argentina’s IMF Package Could Trigger Ugly Blowback

Markets welcomed the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) $50 billion rescue stabilization package last week, which seems to be stabilizing the peso. But the financial umbrella will be costly. Rightly or wrongly, Argentines blame the IMF for precipitating their country's worst economic crisis. In the eyes of many voters, the mere association will damage President Mauricio Macri’s standing.

People walk past a grafitti that reads "IMF (International Monetary Fund), never again" during a demonstration to demand jobs and social benefits in Buenos Aires, Argentina, June 1, 2018.

June 4, 2018

Trade
Mexico Knows How to Fight a Trade War

Mexico's retaliatory tariffs (on some types of steel, lamps, cheese, pork, apples, grapes, and cranberries) will swat at Trump’s political base.

Trucks wait in the queue for border customs control to cross into U.S. at the World Trade Bridge in Nuevo Laredo, Mexico April 5, 2018.

June 27, 2018

Mexico
Is Political Change Coming to Mexico?

Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador will likely become Mexico’s next president at a time of mounting concern over corruption and violence, but his reform plans are hazy.

Alan Ortega/Reuters

May 23, 2018

Brazil
Latin America Needs More Home-Grown Supply Chains

Latin American nations remain isolated, trading little with each other. Regional economic integration is vital to compete globally and grow faster domestically. In order to do this, they must create cross-border supply chains and move up in the value chain.

Workers assemble riding toys of Brazilian toymaker Estrela at a factory in Hernandarias, Paraguay February 7, 2017.

February 22, 2017

Immigration and Migration
Shannon O’Neil On Milenio TV

Last week while in Mexico I had the chance to talk to Alejandro Domínguez, Reporter for Milenio TV about U.S.-Mexico relations under the Trump administration. You can watch the conversation here.

Milenio Entrevista 4

May 7, 2018

Mexico
Mexico’s Ruling Party Is a Dead Man Walking

Enrique Pena Nieto was supposed to be the Institutional Revolutionary Party's savior. But instead, the ruling party looks to lose in the upcoming elections with candidate Jose Antonio Meade. Yet the PRI's political model will live on in the form of MORENA's Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador.

Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) presidential candidate Jose Antonio Meade waves after a meeting with the National Chamber of Commerce (CANACO) in Mexico City, Mexico April 19, 2018.

December 9, 2016

China
Shannon O’Neil On Bloomberg Surveillance

This morning, I had the pleasure of joining Tom Keene on Bloomberg Surveillance to discuss Venezuela, Brazil, Cuba, and China’s increasing opportunities in Latin America. You can watch the two clips …

interview-with-bloomberg-surveillance-lam

July 11, 2018

U.S. Foreign Policy
The Road Not Taken

Teaching Notes for The Road Not Taken, written by CFR Senior Fellow Max Boot, on the biography of Edward Lansdale that reframes our understanding of the Vietnam War.

The Road Not Taken Teaching Notes by Max Boot

April 13, 2018

Peru
Trump's No-Show May Lift Summit From Swamp

President Trump's no-show means less drama and more space at Summit of the Americas for the main theme of corruption. 

A woman cleans a banner ahead of the eighth Summit of the Americas in Lima, Peru April 10, 2018.