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November 23, 2004

The budget deficit before all the bad stuff

Isn’t that what leaving any increase in deficit associated with partial privatization of social security off the books implies?Bush’s formula on the dollar in Santiago emphasized the need to control …

December 8, 2004

Politics and Government
Damaged Snow

If you were John Snow, would you stay knowing that you were at best the President’s second choice?Do DC’s conservative activists really value tax cuts more than financial stability? And does their op…

January 15, 2005

Economics
Latest speech of FRBNY President Tim Geithner

I pay a certain amount of attention to what New York Federal Reserve President Tim Geithner has to say just because he was my boss at the Treasury and the IMF (noted in the spirit of full blog disclo…

February 6, 2005

Economics
I will reenter the fray on monday night

I am still away from my desk, and will not be able to write up my detailed reactions to Greenspan’s latest speech or this weekend’s G-7 until Monday night. The G-7 communique did not contain any sur…

March 4, 2005

Emerging Markets
A few lessons for Mary Anastasia O Grady

I do not expect to consistently agree with the oped page of the Wall Street Journal. But I do not think it is too much to ask that the columnists on oped page of the Journal try to square their argu…

April 11, 2005

United States
Skating on incredibly thin ice

Altogether, the circumstances seem to be as dangerous and intractable as any I can remember, and I can remember quite a lot. What really concerns me is that there seems to be so little willingness o…

May 12, 2005

United States
The sustainability of the current account deficit, once again

The market seems to have concluded that there is no need to put any pressure on the US to reduce its large external deficits. The dollar is up, at least against the euro. So is the renminbi for th…

June 21, 2005

Emerging Markets
Fantasy based opeds in the Wall Street Journal

The Wall Street Journal oped page clearly has discovered the joys of post-modernism. Facts are a social construction -- and inconvenient facts can be changed to fit your preferred narrative.That is…

August 10, 2005

United States
Bob is a good name …

I am a big fan of Robert (Bob) Rubin, so if I cannot be Brad, Bob is not a bad second choice. The US has racked up a deficit of around $2,247bn (€1,821bn, £1,260bn) since 2001 without suffering …

August 30, 2005

Economics
Rubin doctrine of international finance v. Greenspan doctrine …

The Rubin doctrine of international finance (From In an Uncertain World):1. The only certainty in life is that nothing is ever certain.2. Markets are good, but they are not the solution to all proble…