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March 14, 2006

United States
Why didn’t the current account deficit start to adjust in 2003? Will the adjustment start in 2006? And where are all the world’s reserves?

I think I can now welcome Brad DeLong to the "gloom and doom caucus, trade deficit division."  He joins some pretty good company:  Paul Volcker, Robert Rubin, Larry Summers, Warren Buffet, Martin Fel…

Why didn’t the current account deficit start to adjust in 2003?   Will the adjustment start in 2006? And where are all the world’s reserves?

August 10, 2005

United States
Bob is a good name …

I am a big fan of Robert (Bob) Rubin, so if I cannot be Brad, Bob is not a bad second choice. The US has racked up a deficit of around $2,247bn (€1,821bn, £1,260bn) since 2001 without suffering …

March 10, 2006

Wars and Conflict
Iraq: Three Years On

Three years after the war in Iraq began, experts weigh in on whether U.S. forces are winning or losing.

May 2, 2006

Financial Markets
And the money keeps rolling in …

To Russia. In 1998, Russia was very short on cash.  It went to the IMF and got a $15 billion credit line.  When it didn’t hold up its end of the bargain – taking steps to collect a bit of revenue – t…

May 10, 2006

United States
Self promotion watch (Treasury foreign exchange report edition)

I was interviewed by Adam Davidson of NPR about the Treasury’s forthcoming foreign exchange report (to be released at 4 pm today). You can hear the results here.    Adam Davidson also interviewed the…

December 8, 2004

Politics and Government
Damaged Snow

If you were John Snow, would you stay knowing that you were at best the President’s second choice?Do DC’s conservative activists really value tax cuts more than financial stability? And does their op…

October 28, 2005

United States
Who would sit on today’s “committee to save the world”

That is one of many interesting issues raised by Times selectman Floyd Norris today. As Norris notes, Alan Greenspan never had half the power people thought he had.  All he does is set short-term (cr…

July 7, 2006

United States
DeLong: It will all be OK … unless it isn’t

Weekend commentary on the forthcoming (we just don’t know when) process of external adjustment in the US has been outsourced to the left coast.  DeLong: What is this most likely scenario? It is of (a…

July 19, 2006

China
Chinese growth accelerates, RMB depreciates

That was yesterday’s headline.   Or, given the time differences, perhaps the headline from two days ago. Chinese second quarter growth picked up to 11% plus.  The only real surprise here was that the…

March 14, 2006

United States
The 2005 (and 2006) current account deficit

The 2005 current account deficit: $805 billion. or 6.4% of US GDP That is a bit smaller than I expected.    The q3 deficit was revised down.  Reinsurance payments were higher than initially foreca…