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February 22, 2018

Puerto Rico
Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Positive Growth Shock for Puerto Rico? Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Positive Growth Shock for Puerto Rico?

Puerto Rico’s latest fiscal plan appears to use a best case scenario as its base case. It consequently doesn’t provide a realistic benchmark for evaluating Puerto Rico’s long-run capacity to pay.

February 16, 2018

North Korea
KCNA Avoiding War With North Korea

The U.S. military is prepared for a number of contingencies with regard to North Korea, but the best path forward is diplomacy aimed at denuclearization.

February 13, 2018

United States
The Marshall Plan Holds Lessons for Present Tensions With Russia, Benn Steil Writes in New Book

February 13, 2018—The Marshall Plan—the costly and ambitious initiative to revive western Europe after World War II—marked the true beginning of the Cold War, argues Benn Steil. Bringing to bear …

February 12, 2018

China
The Belt and Road Initiative Didn't Quite Live up to its Hype in 2017 The Belt and Road Initiative Didn't Quite Live up to its Hype in 2017

China's balance of payments data doesn't show any material increase in the pace of offshore lending.

February 9, 2018

Vietnam War
Tet Offensive Lessons From the Tet Offensive

Last month marked the fiftieth anniversary of the start of the Tet Offensive. Yesterday I had the good fortune to discuss the lessons of Tet with three experts on the Vietnam War, Frances FitzGerald,…

February 9, 2018

Cybersecurity
John Perry Barlow Cyber Week in Review: February 9, 2018

This week: the CLOUD Act, reorganizing the State Department, internet censorship in Russia, and the passing of John Perry Barlow. 

February 9, 2018

Myanmar
A group of Rohingya refugees after crossing the Bangladesh-Myanmar border, September 1, 2017. The Rohingya Crisis

Hundreds of thousands of Rohingya, a Muslim ethnic minority group, are fleeing persecution in Myanmar’s western Rakhine State, fueling a historic migration crisis.

February 8, 2018

China
China-North-Korea-Cover.jpg The China–North Korea Relationship

China is North Korea’s biggest trade partner and has leverage over Kim Jong-un’s regime, yet its policies focus more on border stability than nuclear threat.

February 6, 2018

Olympics
East Germany was a perennial powerhouse at winter games, including the 1988 Calgary games where it won gold and bronze in the women’s 1000 meters Speedskating event. The Mixed Record of Sports Diplomacy

While sports may temporarily transcend divisions in society, events like the Olympics rarely serve to advance countries’ diplomatic aims.

February 5, 2018

Myanmar
Rohingya_1.10.2018 Rohingya Refugees in Bangladesh Could Face Further Suffering

Rohingya refugees in Bangladesh face serious risk during upcoming monsoon season, warns the UN Refugee Agency.