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July 3, 2018

Fossil Fuels
Presidential Oil Tweets, Oil Prices, and the Cycle

U.S. presidential jawboning about oil prices has continued to grab headlines this week, with President Trump telling Fox News on Sunday that the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) i…

FILE PHOTO: U.S. President Donald Trump shakes hands with Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, DC, U.S. March 20, 2018.

November 14, 2018

Venezuela
Looking for an Off Ramp for Venezuela

Mexico's Andres Lopez Obrador may be able to play a decisive role in bringing this agonizing chapter of Venezuelan history to an end.

A prorally against U.S President Donald Trump in Caracas, Venezuela August 14, 2017

July 3, 2013

Europe
Portugal: The Price of Austerity

News of the collapse of the Portuguese coalition government is further evidence of adjustment fatigue in the periphery that threatens the European project.  The leader of the junior coalition partner…

Maria-Lis-Albuquerque-close-up2

November 11, 2018

United States
Thanking America’s Veterans

Today is Veterans Day. Americans first celebrated it on November 11, 1919, one year to the day after the end of the conflict they knew as the Great War and we (regrettably) know today as World War I…

Vets Day 2018

November 9, 2018

Oil and Petroleum Products
Emerging Market Contagion Could Hit the Oil Industry

This is a guest post by Benjamin Silliman, research associate for Energy Security and Climate Change at the Council on Foreign Relations.  When the Trump administration announced temporary waivers…

Turkish Lira and Dollar banknotes.

November 8, 2018

World Order
History Echoes as Trump Heads to Armistice Day Centennial

The turbulent aftermath of World War I informs our troubled times and reminds us of the potency of nationalism, the attraction of authoritarianism, the risks of economic fragmentation, the temptation…

A soldier's helmet hangs on a wooden cross on Armistice Day in Princes Street Gardens in Edinburgh, Scotland on November 11, 2006.

November 7, 2018

India
Good News and Not-So-Great News: This Week in Economic Ties With India

Earlier this week Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced that India, along with seven other countries, would receive an exemption from the newly-imposed U.S. sanctions on oil imports from Iran. Thi…

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo speaks to reporters during a news briefing at the State Department in Washington, DC. Cathal McNaughton/Reuters

November 5, 2018

Iran
Iranian Oil Sanctions: Myths and Realities of U.S. Energy Independence

Renewed U.S. sanctions against Iranian oil exports kick in officially this week as part of the Trump administration’s decision to exit the Iranian nuclear deal. Estimations on how effective the sanct…

A gas flare on an oil production platform in the Soroush oil fields is seen alongside an Iranian flag in the Persian Gulf, Iran, July 25, 2005.

October 30, 2018

Economics
The Fed Should End Forward Guidance

In the Wall Street Journal earlier this month, we examined the change over time in the market reaction to Fed “forward guidance” on future interest rates. During the crisis, with the Fed’s policy…

The Fed Should End Forward Guidance

October 26, 2018

Europe
Renewable Energy, Russian Natural Gas and the Lesson of January 2006

The problem with the “energy weapon” is that it is notorious for backfiring. That fact couldn’t have rung truer than this week when it was reported that Germany, a major natural gas importer in Europ…

The LNG tanker "Clean Ocean" is pictured during the first U.S. delivery of liquefied natural gas to LNG terminal in Swinoujscie, Poland June 8, 2017.