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January 11, 2011

Politics and Government
Opponents of the health care bill during a rally outside the Capitol. Congressional Constants

Opponents of the health care bill during a rally outside the Capitol. (Jason Reed/courtesy Reuters) In previous posts I noted two constants about congressional behavior. First, members of Congress g…

February 15, 2018

United States
Trump’s Tax Success Is at the Expense of His Trade Agenda Trump’s Tax Success Is at the Expense of His Trade Agenda

It looks like a combination of tax cuts and spending increases will raise the U.S. fiscal deficit by about 2 percentage points of GDP (that’s the number Krugman used; Goldman’s US economics team puts…

February 7, 2018

United States
Do Not Overlook the December Trade Data Do Not Overlook the December Trade Data

The increase in the non-oil trade deficit in December should be getting more attention. It matters more than the year-over-year rise in the 2017 trade deficit.

February 7, 2018

Nuclear Weapons
Ian Dudley/Reuters U.S. Nuclear Weapons Modernization

U.S. strategic and tactical nuclear weapons on land, in the air, and at sea, will undergo costly and extensive modernization in the coming years.

January 23, 2018

India
India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi gestures as he speaks at the Opening Plenary during the World Economic Forum (WEF) annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland, January 23, 2018. Narendra Modi at Davos

India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the first to visit the World Economic Forum in more than twenty years, used his opening plenary address to position his country as a champion of global unity and…

January 23, 2018

Venezuela
The corporate logo of the state oil company PDVSA is seen at a gas station in Caracas, Venezuela December 1, 2017. How Much Worse Can it Get for Venezuela’s State Oil Firm PDVSA?

Venezuela’s latest attempt to raise capital by issuing a cryptocurrency, the petro, linked allegedly to its Orinoco oil reserves is problematical on so many levels, it is hard to know how to comment …

January 17, 2018

China
A Few Words on China’s Holdings of U.S. Bonds A Few Words on China’s Holdings of U.S. Bonds

A primer on China reserve watching.

January 3, 2018

North Korean Nuclear Program
Vehicles carry missiles during a military parade in Pyongyang. North Korea’s Military Capabilities

Kim Jong-un has accelerated North Korea’s buildup of nuclear and other weapons of mass destruction, while also modernizing its large conventional force.

January 3, 2018

China
China’s Impact on the U.S. Bond Market Gets Too Much Attention.   And Europe's Too Little China’s Impact on the U.S. Bond Market Gets Too Much Attention. And Europe's Too Little

The ECB has almost certainly had a bigger impact on U.S. rates over the last three years than the PBOC, without buying (or selling) any Treasuries.

December 27, 2017

United States
American obituaries Ten American Foreign Policy Influentials Who Died in 2017

Year’s end is a time for taking stock, counting successes, and assessing failures. It is also time for remembering those who are no longer with us. Here are ten Americans who died in 2017 who through…