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January 3, 2018

China
China’s Impact on the U.S. Bond Market Gets Too Much Attention.   And Europe's Too Little China’s Impact on the U.S. Bond Market Gets Too Much Attention. And Europe's Too Little

The ECB has almost certainly had a bigger impact on U.S. rates over the last three years than the PBOC, without buying (or selling) any Treasuries.

November 15, 2017

Southeast Asia
Trump press conference Vietnam_11.12.2017 Assessing Trump’s Asia Visit: He Put in the Time, But Got Little in Return

During his marathon visit to Asia earlier this month, U.S. President Donald J. Trump at least demonstrated to Asian allies that he is not going to ignore the region. His trip was the longest by a U.S…

February 15, 2018

United States
Trump’s Tax Success Is at the Expense of His Trade Agenda Trump’s Tax Success Is at the Expense of His Trade Agenda

It looks like a combination of tax cuts and spending increases will raise the U.S. fiscal deficit by about 2 percentage points of GDP (that’s the number Krugman used; Goldman’s US economics team puts…

February 13, 2018

South Africa
South African Deputy President Cyril Ramaphosa (left) and President Jacob Zuma stand at the opening of Parliament in Cape Town. Jacob Zuma’s Undoing

The scandal-plagued leader’s removal could set the party of Nelson Mandela on a path toward reestablishing South Africa as a role model for the rest of the continent.

February 13, 2018

United States
FA MA 2018 Cover Walking Away From World Order: Weighing Trump’s First Year of Foreign Policy

“Nobody really knew what to expect when Donald Trump became U.S. president. Would he disrupt the status quo or maintain it? Blow himself up or escape unscathed? One year in, the answer is yes,” write…

February 12, 2018

Thailand
Prayuth_10.26.2017 Thailand’s Junta Faces Mounting Pressure

The ruling junta in Thailand, which seized power in May 2014, has repeatedly delayed holding elections. Most recently, after promising to hold an election in November of this year, junta leaders now …

February 8, 2018

China
China-North-Korea-Cover.jpg The China–North Korea Relationship

China is North Korea’s biggest trade partner and has leverage over Kim Jong-un’s regime, yet its policies focus more on border stability than nuclear threat.

February 7, 2018

Kenya
Kenya-Crackdown-Kenyatta-Odinga-Inauguration-Election Kenya Enters Dangerous Territory

The Kenyatta administration has transformed an act in Odinga’s political theater into a challenge to the legitimacy of the Kenyatta administration.

February 7, 2018

Nuclear Weapons
Ian Dudley/Reuters U.S. Nuclear Weapons Modernization

U.S. strategic and tactical nuclear weapons on land, in the air, and at sea, will undergo costly and extensive modernization in the coming years.

February 6, 2018

Olympics
East Germany was a perennial powerhouse at winter games, including the 1988 Calgary games where it won gold and bronze in the women’s 1000 meters Speedskating event. The Mixed Record of Sports Diplomacy

While sports may temporarily transcend divisions in society, events like the Olympics rarely serve to advance countries’ diplomatic aims.