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March 22, 2006

China
Stephen Roach is well worth reading today

Roach has access to a slightly higher level of policy makers than either the author - or I suspect most of the readers - of this blog.   Particularly in China.   He didn't learn of Wen's crit…

January 31, 2007

United States
Roach on globalization and China

Stephen Roach made three arguments last Friday. I disagree with two of them, but agree with the third.  And the third is by far the most important.   But before getting to the point of agreement, the…

November 8, 2005

China
Stephen Roach gets it, the IMF does not …

Subtitle: some parts of the IMF might want to reread Keynes. China, as we have discussed, saves too much and consumes too little.  It consequently finances both its own (exceptionally rapid) industri…

May 25, 2018

Nonproliferation, Arms Control, and Disarmament
Reagan and Gorbachev shake hands after their talks in Reykjavik. Singapore and Reykjavik: The Perils of Summitry

The 1986 meeting in Iceland between U.S. President Ronald Reagan and Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev was like none other. It offers helpful context for a potential U.S.-North Korea arms control summi…

June 3, 2005

Economics
If Roach says 3.5% and Gross says 3%, someone else has to say 2.5%

Roach and Gross could not stay among the most bullish on bonds for very long. From Marc Gilbert’s column today.Gabe Borenstein, managing director of global investments at Investec Holdings Ltd. in N…

March 27, 2018

Russia
Russian flag flies over Seattle consulate. What’s Next for Russia’s Relations With the West?

The expulsion of Russian diplomats by more than twenty governments is a remarkable show of unity and a deepening of Moscow’s rift with the West.

July 21, 2015

China
China’s Market Plunge: Correction or Crisis?

The odds of an economic hard landing for China remain low, but continuing stock volatility could set back critical market reforms, says expert Stephen Roach.

October 21, 2009

United States
Avoiding a U.S.-China Trade Showdown

Morgan Stanley executive Stephen Roach says China’s undervalued currency is a "red herring" in the debate over global imbalances and that policymakers should instead focus on China’s social safety ne…

March 13, 2018

U.S. State Department
U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson boards his plane to depart at the end of a five-country swing through Africa from Abuja, Nigeria, March 12, 2018. Tillerson, Pompeo, and the State of State

Mike Pompeo inherits a marginalized State Department, undermined by several grievous mistakes from Rex Tillerson. 

March 15, 2018

Sub-Saharan Africa
Nigeria-Aliko-Dangote-Forbes-Billionaires Sub-Saharan Africa's Billionaires

Sub-Saharan Africa Has Fourteen Billionaires, eight of whom are in South Africa and seven of whom are white.