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February 8, 2018

Turkey
Erdogan General Erdogan’s First War

Turkey’s Islamist president is the first civilian with control over his country’s military—and you can tell by the results.

January 24, 2018

Turkey
ErdoganTurkeyAfrin The Entirely Rational Basis for Turkey's Move Into Syria

Nearly a century of mistrust of America and an obsession with defeating the Kurds sparked its operation in Afrin.

January 16, 2018

Egypt
BP01162018 Is War About to Break Out in the Horn of Africa? Will the West Even Notice?

Egypt, Sudan, and Ethiopia are close to armed conflict over a Nile dam project; so far the United States is ignoring them.

January 10, 2018

Israeli-Palestinian Conflict
IsraelBarrierJerusalem Is Annexation of the West Bank Already Here?

My recent piece at Salon.com raised some hackles with my friend, former intern, and occasional coauthor, Michael Koplow. Michael is the policy director at the Israel Policy Forum, and he also writes …

January 8, 2018

Israeli-Palestinian Conflict
WestBankWall Israel Moves to Annex the West Bank—This Is How the Two-State Solution Dies

While the media focuses on Trump, Netanyahu imposes a “solution”: There will never be a Palestinian state.

February 20, 2018

India
Workers install photovoltaic solar panels at the Gujarat solar park under construction in Charanka village, in Patan district of the western Indian state of Gujarat, India, April 14, 2012. REUTERS/Amit Dave Still Shining? Our Third Annual Review on Solar Scale-up in India

This guest post is co-authored by Joshua Busby, associate professor of public affairs at the Robert S. Strauss Center for International Security and Law at the LBJ School at the University of Texas a…

February 16, 2018

United States
Mapping Capital Flows Into the U.S. Over the Last Thirty Years Mapping Capital Flows Into the U.S. Over the Last Thirty Years

Up until 2014, the growth in central bank dollar reserves closely mapped to the increase in U.S. net external debt. The past few years have been different: for the first time in a long time, yield-st…

February 15, 2018

United States
Trump’s Tax Success Is at the Expense of His Trade Agenda Trump’s Tax Success Is at the Expense of His Trade Agenda

It looks like a combination of tax cuts and spending increases will raise the U.S. fiscal deficit by about 2 percentage points of GDP (that’s the number Krugman used; Goldman’s US economics team puts…

February 15, 2018

Europe
“Doom Loop” Binding Weak Banks and Sovereigns Still Haunts Europe “Doom Loop” Binding Weak Banks and Sovereigns Still Haunts Europe

One important reason no one talks about Puerto Rico leaving the “dollar zone” is that the island’s banks have minimal exposure to its government’s debt. There is thus no need even to consider int…

December 21, 2017

Egypt
Sisi Democracy Is Not the Cure for Terrorism

Analysts have blamed Egypt’s autocracy for a recent attack that killed hundreds. But that’s not what’s motivating the violence.