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March 13, 2018

Middle East and North Africa
Cars pass by a poster of Egypt's President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi for the upcoming presidential election, in Cairo, Egypt, February 19, 2018. The writing on the poster reads: "Long live Egypt". REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany Strongmen Are Weaker Than They Look

Authoritarians are on the rise around the world, but history shows they’re mostly helpless.

February 28, 2018

Middle East and North Africa
TrumpSaudi Trump’s Middle East Strategy Is Totally Boring

There’s a very familiar method to the administration’s apparent regional madness.

February 8, 2018

Erdogan General Erdogan’s First War

Turkey’s Islamist president is the first civilian with control over his country’s military—and you can tell by the results.

March 14, 2018

Kenya-Kenyatta-Odinga-Reconciliation-NASA-Jubilee Pulling Kenya Back From the Brink

Odinga has called off his defiance campaign against the Kenyatta government, while Kenyatta apparently is allowing Odinga to continue to use the title “people’s president." The official document released detailing the pact refers to both as “his excellency.”

January 24, 2018

ErdoganTurkeyAfrin The Entirely Rational Basis for Turkey's Move Into Syria

Nearly a century of mistrust of America and an obsession with defeating the Kurds sparked its operation in Afrin.

January 16, 2018

BP01162018 Is War About to Break Out in the Horn of Africa? Will the West Even Notice?

Egypt, Sudan, and Ethiopia are close to armed conflict over a Nile dam project; so far the United States is ignoring them.

January 10, 2018

Israeli-Palestinian Conflict
IsraelBarrierJerusalem Is Annexation of the West Bank Already Here?

My recent piece at Salon.com raised some hackles with my friend, former intern, and occasional coauthor, Michael Koplow. Michael is the policy director at the Israel Policy Forum, and he also writes …

January 8, 2018

Israeli-Palestinian Conflict
WestBankWall Israel Moves to Annex the West Bank—This Is How the Two-State Solution Dies

While the media focuses on Trump, Netanyahu imposes a “solution”: There will never be a Palestinian state.

December 21, 2017

Sisi Democracy Is Not the Cure for Terrorism

Analysts have blamed Egypt’s autocracy for a recent attack that killed hundreds. But that’s not what’s motivating the violence.

January 31, 2018

Kenyan-Odinga-Kenyatta-NRM-NASA Kenyatta Government Declares Odinga's NRM "Criminal"

Following the January 30 “inauguration” of Raila Odinga as an alternative president of Kenya, the Interior Ministry declared that his National Resistance Movement (NRM) is an “organized criminal group” under the Prevention of Organized Crimes Act