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August 1, 2018

Islamic State
Noorullah Shirzada/AFP/Getty Images The Islamic State Threat Hasn’t Gone Away

Lost amid the intense international focus on diplomatic talks with North Korea and renewed U.S. tensions with Iran, has been a recent spate of Islamic State attacks across a broad swath of the Middle…

July 25, 2018

Donald Trump
Trump Putin summit Summing Up the Trump Summits

President Trump’s approach to summits is fueling, rather than mitigating, global instability.

July 23, 2018

China
China’s Currency Is Back in Play China’s Currency Is Back in Play

China's currency is getting awfully close to some key levels, levels where in the past China has resisted further depreciation. The signals China sends from here on will be critical.

July 3, 2018

Fossil Fuels
FILE PHOTO: U.S. President Donald Trump shakes hands with Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, DC, U.S. March 20, 2018. Presidential Oil Tweets, Oil Prices, and the Cycle

U.S. presidential jawboning about oil prices has continued to grab headlines this week, with President Trump telling Fox News on Sunday that the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) i…

June 26, 2018

El Salvador
Police arrest a woman as they search people for drugs and weapons during a patrol in Tegucigalpa, Honduras. Central America’s Violent Northern Triangle

Violence and rampant crime have driven asylum seekers from El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras to the United States, which is seeking to help address the root causes.

June 11, 2018

Cybersecurity
NYC Blackout Not The Cyber Deterrence the United States Wants

The U.S. approach to cyber deterrence assumes that Washington will be deterring others. The Obama administration's response to Russian interference in the 2016 election tests that assumption. 

June 5, 2018

China
How Durable is China’s Rebalancing? How Durable is China’s Rebalancing?

I increasingly suspect my view on Chinese “rebalancing” is at odds with the current consensus (or perhaps just with a plurality of the investment bank analysts and financial journalists who watch Chi…

May 21, 2018

United States
Meeting the Challenge of Slow-Motion Crises

The United States faces three slow-motion crises—the future of work, climate change, and the federal debt—that we risk not tackling until it is too late.

May 11, 2018

Eurozone
Ireland Exports its Leprechaun Ireland Exports its Leprechaun

Irish tax distortions have a material impact on aggregate eurozone economic data.

May 9, 2018

South Korea
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, South Korean President Moon Jae-in, and Chinese Premier Li Keqiang attend a business summit in Tokyo on May 9, 2018. Can Japan and South Korea Handle Peace With Pyongyang?

The rapid pace of North Korean diplomacy makes it crucial that Japan and South Korea coordinate more closely on potential changes to Northeast Asian security. But they must first overcome some deep-r…