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February 6, 2018

Energy and Climate Policy
A prototype hydrogen powered fuel cell semi-truck is shown by Toyota at the Los Angeles Auto Show in Los Angeles, California, U.S., November 30, 2017. Is Natural Gas the Transition Fuel for Hydrogen?

This post is co-written by Joan Ogden, professor of environmental science and policy at UC Davis and director of the Sustainable Transportation Energy Pathways (STEPS) program at the campus’ Institut…

January 17, 2018

China
A Few Words on China’s Holdings of U.S. Bonds A Few Words on China’s Holdings of U.S. Bonds

A primer on China reserve watching.

January 3, 2018

North Korean Nuclear Program
Vehicles carry missiles during a military parade in Pyongyang. North Korea’s Military Capabilities

Kim Jong-un has accelerated North Korea’s buildup of nuclear and other weapons of mass destruction, while also modernizing its large conventional force.

January 3, 2018

China
China’s Impact on the U.S. Bond Market Gets Too Much Attention.   And Europe's Too Little China’s Impact on the U.S. Bond Market Gets Too Much Attention. And Europe's Too Little

The ECB has almost certainly had a bigger impact on U.S. rates over the last three years than the PBOC, without buying (or selling) any Treasuries.

November 16, 2017

Asia
American Asian Security Allies, Alas, Contribute More to Global Trade Imbalances Than China American Asian Security Allies, Alas, Contribute More to Global Trade Imbalances Than China

One possible U.S. international economic policy towards Asia, broadly speaking, would be to seek to align with Asia’s other economies to put more pressure on China. Xi’s rhetorical commitment to g…

November 2, 2017

Energy and Climate Policy
Rebuttal: Oil Subsidies—More Material for Climate Change Than You Might Think Rebuttal: Oil Subsidies—More Material for Climate Change Than You Might Think

This post is authored by Peter Erickson, a staff scientist at the Stockholm Environment Institute and a co-author of a new paper in Nature Energy that studies how much of U.S. oil reserves are econom…

October 23, 2017

Asia
Make the Foreign Exchange Report Great (Again) Make the Foreign Exchange Report Great (Again)

The Trump Administration wants to bring down the U.S. trade deficit. A number of manufacturing-heavy Asian economies run sizable current account surpluses. Over the course of the summer, some of t…

September 27, 2017

Puerto Rico
Puerto Rican and U.S. Flags Puerto Rico After Maria: Initial Thoughts on the Fiscal and Economic Implications

Puerto Rico faced immense challenges even before the devastation from Hurricane Maria. Its economy is 15 percent smaller now than it was ten years ago, and the latest high frequency indicators from t…

August 23, 2017

Monetary Policy
G-3 Coordination Failures of the Past Eight Years? (A Riff on Cœuré and Brainard) G-3 Coordination Failures of the Past Eight Years? (A Riff on Cœuré and Brainard)

The world would be in a better place today if the ECB and BoJ had joined the Fed in quantitative easing early on. Their lag in easing contributed to the policy gap that led to the dollar's large 2014…

June 26, 2017

Saudi Arabia
BinSalmanKSA Saudi Arabia's Untested New Crown Prince: Mohammed Bin Salman Has High Hopes, But Rises to Power at a Dangerous Moment

King Salman's son Mohammed is now the desert kingdom's dominant figure—and the challenges before him are huge.